tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10528637947771883162024-03-14T03:05:10.035+08:00破煙幕 拼真相Looking behind the smokescreen....Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.comBlogger383125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-23362829683025673542015-01-06T09:55:00.001+08:002015-01-09T12:19:37.424+08:002014年六大劣政<div align="right" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">黎廣德<span lang="EN-US"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2014年將盡,特首梁振英上京述職,國家主席習近平與總理李克強皆「充份肯定」梁和港府工作。梁氏自稱已向中央提交「巨細無遺、客觀如實」的工作報告,但報告內容不公開,是否報喜不報憂,港人不得而知。為免遺漏,最好讓數字說出真相,補足梁振英不願多提的事實,令公眾和中央官員了解當今的政策缺口。<o:p></o:p></span><br />
<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">一、 全民退保拖延不決</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></b><br />
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">梁振英在競選特首期間聲稱要「認認真真」推動全民退休保障,政務司長林鄭月娥去年委託港大學者周永新研究各項民間方案,綜合報告今年六月份完成,認為設立「全民老年金」完全可行,但政府不表態,扶貧委員會嘆慢板,有意明年再從頭搞公眾諮詢,顯然想用「拖字訣」蒙混下去。另一邊廂,即使梁氏自去年四月起推行他自詡的德政「長者生活津貼」,統計數據顯示仍有<span lang="EN-US">285,500名長者處於貧窮線下,即長者貧窮率為30.5%,高於經濟合作發展組織國家平均率13.3%逾兩倍。貧富兩極每况愈下,從老人家生活之艱苦可見一斑。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">二、土地開發雜亂無章<span lang="EN-US"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></b><br />
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">梁班子雖在上任後承認政府擁有<span lang="EN-US">3900公頃閒置土地,一直未肯公佈清單和編制善用土地時間表。陳茂波強推新界東北發展計劃,遭遇前所未有逾四萬人入紙城規會反對,審議至今仍未完結;陳氏再推改劃70幅綠化地帶作住宅用途,但根據由1997年至今的城規會紀錄,同類申請只有兩成能成功改劃。另一邊廂,雖然政府終於承認優先發展棕地,但對於位處元朗橫洲佔地34公頃,原計劃興建17000個單位以容納52000人居住的倉地,卻因少數鄉事勢力反對而全盤擱置,改為發展旁邊的綠化地帶,單位大減至4000個。見微知著,政府開發土地章法大亂,只會激發社區矛盾,所謂發展大計猶如在浮沙蓋房。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">三、房屋政策自欺欺人</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></b><br />
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">儘管政府去年推出兩輪「辣招」遏抑樓市,但今年首三季住宅樓價上升<span lang="EN-US">7%,預計全年升8-9%,租金升幅更超越樓價,首三季已達9%。運房局長張炳良本月公布《長遠房屋策略2014》,提出未來10年新增48萬個單位的建屋目標,但否決租</span></span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Mincho"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">務管制</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">、</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Mincho"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">房屋</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">空置</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: Batang; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">稅</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">或規管劏房</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: Batang; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">。張氏承認市民因</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Mincho"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">為</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: Batang; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">沒有選擇而居於</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">劏</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: Batang; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">房,在一年</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">間急增三成至<span lang="EN-US">8.6萬户是社會悲哀,但政府始終迴避房屋問題的核心,就是樓價與租金遠超市民的負擔能力:香港已經連續第三年成為世界上最不能負擔房價的城市,2014年的樓價與收入比更加升至14.9,而國際指標</span></span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">認定</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">5.5以</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">上已屬</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">極度不能負擔。房屋政策不但遠水不能救近火,更因為不敢觸碰地產霸權的利益而坐困愁城,成為民怨爆發的計時炸彈。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span><br />
<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">四、肅貪倡廉急促倒退<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b><br />
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">今年中香港大學民意調查發現港人對廉潔程度評價為<span lang="EN-US">6.25,創97年後新低;廉署今年首11個月共接獲2,190宗舉報,數字連續第二年下跌,是2012年接獲近4千宗貪污舉報的一半。香港歴來最高級官員許仕仁貪腐案審結,証實現行制度千瘡百孔,既無法杜絕官商勾結,對問責高官的審查更形同虛設,但梁振英不僅沒有絲毫檢討改革之意,既拖延不把特首納入防貪條例規管,更委任20多年前已因為時任交通諮詢委員會主席卻擁有從事炒賣的士牌的公司股份,涉嫌利益衝突的基本法委員會委員譚惠珠為「審查貪污舉報諮詢委員會」主席。廉署調查曾蔭權及湯顯明分別長達近3年及近2年仍未公布進展,再加上梁氏本人亦是被查對象,如此的人事佈局,幾可確保從廉署調查至律政司檢控均可被特首「柔性操控」(即使律政司外聘大律師負責檢控,也是「租來的槍手」,難言獨立)。香港在國際反貪組織「透明國際」公佈的2013年全球清廉指數報告中獲得75分,是97年以來最低。如今禮崩樂壞,恐怕低處未算低。<o:p></o:p></span></span><br />
<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">五、警暴濫權變本加厲<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b><br />
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">根據香港大學民意調查,市民對警方表現滿意度的淨值,從<span lang="EN-US">1997年的74.8%趺至今年11月底的29.1%。在七十多天的佔領行動期間,監警會接獲累積超過二千宗涉及警察濫權或施暴的投訴,接近2013/14全年的2591宗。警務署長曾偉雄聲稱整場佔領運動中有130名警員受傷,並非常技巧地說有「221名示威者經警方安排接受治療」,但其實在11月29日食物及衛生局長高永文已承認有470名受傷市民向公營醫院急証室求診,還未包括11月30日包圍政總一役的傷者,而當中不少人因白色恐怖的陰影而未有投訴或求診,所以至今雨傘運動因警察暴力而受傷的總人數仍是一大謎團。毫無疑問,從催淚彈到扑頭警棍,警察對民眾施暴是自從1967年左派暴動以來最嚴重的一役,梁班子不僅從未為任何一次過火行徑致歉(包括七警已被捕的「暗角打鑊」),更鼓動前線警員同仇敵愾,視政治異議者為合理施暴的對象,實為警隊淪為極權工具的危險訊號。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">六、政制改革欺上瞞下<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b><br />
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">梁振英串同政務司長林鄭月娥,先由政改三人組編寫首輪政改諮詢報告,再由他向人大常委會提交政改報告,內容偏頗失實,以「主流意見」、「大眾普遍認同」等字眼形容建制派保守意見,但未有交代如何量化民意。結果人大常委依據報告制訂的<span lang="EN-US">8.31決議翻起軒然大波,促成雨傘運動。根據中文大學傳播與民意調查中心的研究,曾到佔領現場参與雨傘運動的港人達130萬,無論是佔領行動的前或後,支持雨傘運動的巿民均超過三成,要求否決政改方案的市民也遠高於接受的比例,50.7%的受訪者不滿意特區政府處理佔領運動的整體表現。顯而易見,清場後香港進入「新非常態」,管治危機勢必隨著民間不合作運動擴大而日益加劇。<o:p></o:p></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">六項劣政交織而成的社會圖象,映照習近平訓示梁振英施政須「有利於居民安居樂業」的要求,真令人啼笑皆非。</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">回顧<span lang="EN-US">2014,這是最壞的年頭,因為特區施政執意與民意背馳;這是最好的年頭,因為年輕世代的自主意識已不可逆轉。</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;">2015</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Mincho"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;">年必定危機四伏,也注定充滿生機。</span><br />
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<span style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">[原刊於《蘋果日報》, 2014年12月30日]</span></span></div>
<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Mincho"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;"><br /></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-35028519378787014292015-01-06T09:41:00.001+08:002015-01-06T09:43:39.863+08:00梁班子決策水平創新低<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span lang="EN-US">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span lang="EN-US">公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">一組數字最能說明問題 - 埋在地下1000年:</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">考古發掘</span><span lang="EN-US">24個月:</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">拆遷決定</span><span lang="EN-US">18天,這就是梁振英政府處理沙中線聖山古蹟遺址的時序。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">制定政策的基礎是準確數據和專業分析,這是公共管治入門的ABC。當然問責官員作出政治決定時離不開價值判斷,但若果判斷是建基於浮沙之上,不僅政府公信力蕩然無存,公眾利益更難免受損。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">發展局長陳茂波的民望長期處於低位,固然與他上任後爆出連串劏房、屯地、醉駕等醜聞有關,但他負責的政策範圍非常重要,只要善加發揮,贏取民心並非難事。可惜兩年來陳氏的決策方式日趨封閉,除了每周網誌筆耕不斷,他面對傳媒和公眾的雙向溝通越來越少,「發展」脫離民意的風險越來越大。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">聖山古蹟不但是祖先留給香港人的文化遺產,更是送給身兼古物事務監督的陳茂波的大禮。政府固然須花錢投資保育,但位處市區的古蹟不但能帶來長遠經濟效益(姚松炎教授在「頭條日報」《千年古蹟群
原址保育》一文已詳細論述),更是說明香港「海上絲路」角色的「政治正確」佐證,只要陳氏按照國家標準及國際約章執行,必然皆大歡喜,贏盡民心。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">可惜陳茂波擺脫不了角色衝突,誤以發展局長的思維執行古物事務監督的職責,任由港鐵主導考古發掘和保育方案,結果犯下三大錯誤。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span lang="EN-US">一、不弄清基本事實:</span></b><span lang="EN-US">陳茂波承認聖山遺址是香港重大發現,宣佈擴大考古範圍,等於承認古蹟調查未完成,港鐵更連第二、三期範圍的考古報告也未提交,政府亦未曾委託跨學科専家進行歷史和社會價值評估,運房局長張炳良更公開表示港鐵提交的估算和聲稱的延誤損失未經政府核實,古諮會只倚靠港鐵考古隊在會議上的幾句說話便替千年古蹟定奪去留,豈非在資料不全、事實不明的精況下便罔下判斷?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span lang="EN-US">二、不遵守既定程序:</span></b><span lang="EN-US">對於重要古蹟群,正常程序是古諮會進行整體評級,若屬一級文物,政府便須考慮是否列作法定古蹟,屆時原址保育是唯一選項(考古遺址列作法定古蹟的例子有大埔碗</span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E5%A4%A7%E5%9F%94%E7%A2%97%E7%AA%B0%E7%AA%B0%E5%9D%80" title="大埔碗窰窰址"><span lang="ZH-HK" style="color: windowtext; font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;">窰窰址</span></a></span><span lang="EN-US">,分流石圓環等)。政府從提出建議到決定保育方案的18天內,未有要求古諮會評級,亦不進行公眾諮詢,古諮會更拒絕民間團體出席會議提出另類方案,只選擇表面上最省錢的方案,豈不怪哉?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span lang="EN-US">三、不尊重國<a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="_GoBack"></a>家標準:</span></b><span lang="EN-US">因為香港本身從未自行制定保育準則,所以參照國家標準(即《中國文物古蹟保護準則》)和國際約章是唯一出路。國家標準要求必須保存現狀的古蹟類別包括:「文物古迹群体的布局」和「文物古迹群中不同时期有价值的各个单体」。在未有全盤保育方案之前,港鐵若要進行工程,須採納國際通用的「預先防範」原則:有辦法原址保育的古蹟必須原址保育,因為正如國家標準第5.1條強調:「文物古迹的不可再生性,决定了对它干预的任何一个错误,都是不可挽回的。」陳茂波拆卸J2井及引水溝的決定,顯然違反國家和國際準則。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">事實上,參照德國雅齊市(Aachen) 的例子,對於位處車站範圍的J2古井及引水溝,港鐵可採用具創意的開放式設計原址保育,以台階式下沉廣場連接車站大堂,讓乘客全方位欣賞到古蹟面貌,把土瓜灣站打造成為「聖山車站」,再連同整個古蹟群建造「聖山遺址公園」,是九龍城區千載難逢的喜訊。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">梁班子中除了陳茂波以外,負責沙中線工程的張炳良和曾經指出聖山古蹟對海上絲路重要性的民政事務局長曾德成,亦須對保育方案的取捨承擔責任。陳氏的決定可能已違反古物古蹟條例,而港鐵作為執行者更會首當其衝。懸崖勒馬,看來還有最後機會。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">見微知著,陳茂波作風僵化並非單一例子,梁振英政府的正當性被雨傘運動和方興未艾的不合作運動削弱之際,梁班子普遍視面對群眾為苦差,結果閉門做車,黑廂作業成為常態,決策水平沒有最低,恐怕只會更低。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<i><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: x-small; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">原文題為<三錯誤判聖山命運>刊於信報2014年12月23日</span></i>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-32024689441070329902015-01-06T09:29:00.001+08:002015-01-09T12:22:24.606+08:00為何「解放軍中看不中用」不含褒貶<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">有朋友看了拙文《80天前無人知曉的事實》(原刊於蘋果日報2014.12.16)</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span lang="EN-US">內有關「解放軍中看不中用」一段有所不安,恐怕挑動了解放軍的神經。這點憂慮不無道理,但若果弄清來龍去脈,便明白這段文字的含意並非貶低解放軍角色,只是說明當今的政治現實,令香港註軍歸位。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">先引述引起疑慮的一段文字,再說明三點:</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">『</span></b><b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">解放軍中看不中用</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - 80天前解放軍艦艇在維港操演,槍口對準中環,大有山雨欲來,不惜血洗中環之勢;80天後「環球時報」社評自我安慰:「如果香港社会能容忍亂,内地何需急」,「内地社会轻易不可动出动驻港部队“平息动乱”的念头」。</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">』<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">一、佔中前社會各界憂慮解放軍在中環製造六四翻版是事實,雨傘運動爆發的規模遠大於佔中當初預期,而解放軍沒有出動也是事實。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">二、解放軍沒有出動對付佔領運動,與香港駐軍的能力無關。以駐軍的武裝力量對比和平佔領者手無寸鐵,解放軍要重演十倍於六四天安門的血腥鎮壓也游刃有餘。北京不出動解放軍是由於政治和經濟原因,我在今年十月中發表《鐵腕鎮壓的真正輸家》一文已有詳盡分析。說到底,京港權貴的利益風險是對解放軍的最大制約,這是駐軍「不中用」的根本原因,亦是例如「環球時報」等宣傳機器不想內地人民對出動解放軍有不切實際期望的原因。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">三、根據《駐軍法》,解放軍駐港的目的是「維護國家的主權、統一、領土完整和香港的安全」。從實踐證明,佔領行動不涉及上述任何一項,解放軍不干預是理所當然,出動駐軍反而違反了《駐軍法》授予解放軍的權力。所以經歷雨傘運動之後,將來若有同類的佔領街頭或公民行動,解放軍更加沒有干預「平亂」的理據。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">香港駐軍嚴格遵守駐軍法,對解放軍的聲譽是好事而非壞事,香港市民自然希望駐軍只是用來「看」而非「用」,因此把「中看不中用」放在一國兩制的格局來看,對解放軍是褒多於貶,即使京官或駐軍聽起來不順耳,心裏不會不明白。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">有朋友說改為「解放軍中看不能用」較為貼切,也是不錯的建議。</span><br />
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">[原刊於《香港獨立媒體》, 2014年12月17日]</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-3383691270695554152015-01-06T09:04:00.003+08:002015-01-06T09:09:41.354+08:0080天前無人知曉的事實<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="tab-stops: 100.35pt; text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">黎廣德<span lang="EN-US"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">金銅旺清場,京港官員奢望香港從「非常態」回復正常。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic";">清場時最觸目的標語是
</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun;">It's just the beginning</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic";">,意味香港要進</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: MingLiU;">入「新非常態」而不是「新常態」。起點是甚麼</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun;">? </span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic";">社會現實不是簡單的客觀</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: MingLiU;">存在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic";">,更在乎香港人的集体主觀</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: MingLiU;">認知。</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: MingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">只要你從催淚彈爆發一刻起多活了</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">80</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">天,你認知的香港便大不一樣。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">年輕世代</span></b><b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: MingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">絕</span></b><b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">非港孩</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - 80天前香港大學生是長不大的港孩,迎新日要父母親陪伴,畢業時要攬實啤啤熊拍照;80天後大學生是民主運動先驅,中學生站在街頭宣揚抗命,追不上的父母手足無措,追得上的父母默默支持。<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">佔路不會癱瘓經濟 </span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">- 80天前佔中猶如十惡不赦,據說市場會大瀉,樓價會大跌,外資會撤離;80天後股市創新高再上上落落,零售總額上升,遊客總量上升,由於沒有佔領行動損害經濟的數據,財政司曾俊華只能說一句無法驗證的官話:「</span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="https://www.google.com.hk/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CBsQqQIwAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.news.gov.hk%2Ftc%2Fcategories%2Ffinance%2Fhtml%2F2014%2F12%2F20141212_120802.shtml&ei=2P-KVIO-AYHSmAWs5oG4BA&usg=AFQjCNEEPGyBYQQwcqTRctRJeYLBhznX9A&sig2=S6y4iYolRq66iJMlm0F3kA&bvm=bv.81828268,d.dGY"><span style="color: windowtext; font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;">清場對經濟是正面信息</span></a></span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">人民幣須倚賴香港</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - 80天前特區官員不斷警告市民,香港金融中心地位快要被上海取代,只待京官一發怒香港便會「冇運行」;80天後「滬港通」雖然交投黯淡像幽靈列車,京官仍找藉口要日日開車,因為非如此人民幣走向國際化沒有更穩妥的線路。<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">解放軍中看不中用</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - 80天前解放軍艦艇在維港操演,槍口對準中環,大有山雨欲來,不惜血洗中環之勢;80天後「環球時報」社評自我安慰:「如果香港社会能容忍亂,内地何需急」,「内地社会轻易不可动出动驻港部队“平息动乱”的念头」。<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">空間規劃民智勝官 </span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">- 80天前街頭管理權由政府壟斷,公共空間須在康文署地政署規劃署設定的條條框框內使用;80天後佔領區空間從無序變有序,「金鐘上河圖」詳細紀錄了夏愨道變夏愨村的精采歷程,自由意識與責任意識並行不悖,市民自發的規劃智慧令由上而下的「專業規劃」無地自容。<b><o:p></o:p></b></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">藝術創意洶湧澎湃</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - 80天前香港這「文化沙漠」據說難成大器,所以官方要找理由花200多億元搞西九文化區才能「與國際接軌」;80天後佔領區藝術品全球知名,從街頭展品、音樂、錄像、文字到行為藝術圴傲視同儕,國際知名博物館也到港搜羅展品收藏。<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">汽車廢氣民生大敵</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - 80天前金銅旺三區路邊空氣污染指數一直盤踞全港前三名,但政府建立低排放區的大計十多年來只聞樓梯響;80天後市民發覺佔領期間路邊監測站懸浮粒子PM2.5下降逾五成,毫無疑問汽車排放是罪魁禍首,更是危害市民健康的無形殺手。<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">港官麻木集體失語</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - 80天前不少人相信梁班子問責官員當中有人胸懷大志,只是忍辱負重,一旦跌穿道德底線便會伺機而動;80天後梁班子集體裝睡,對這場香港五十年來未見的政治大火視而不見,猶如喪失了自由意志,變成權力的木偶。<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">官府黑道糾纏不清</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - 80天前市民以為政府與黑道勢不兩立,即使一時不能清剿也斷不會同流合污;80天後市民驚覺黑幫份子配合警方為清場打頭陣,有黑道中人向外媒公然承認「收咗國安部錢開工做嘢」,更有特區官員共同參與由涉黑人士支持的簽名活動。<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">建制維穩流氓水平</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - 80天前建制派在社區搞社齋餅粽,雖然是籠絡民心但總算以民生為念;80天後南下抵港的維穩大軍越來越多,破口大駡已是常態,更有揮拳相向,趁機非禮,甚至亮刀指嚇,流氓行徑滲入街頭政治。<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">警隊專業虛有其表 </span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">- 80天前警隊號稱「全亞洲最優秀」,「警訊」節目中俊男美女、除暴安良的形象深入人心;80天後警隊民望插水式下跌至回歸以來新低,濫用暴力和執法不公等投訴有過萬宗,「黑警」成為市民新詞彙,「壓力太大」和「警員都係人」卻成為警隊放棄專業水平的藉口。<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">民不畏捕民不怕打</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - 80天前「被差人拉」是「跎衰家」的標籤,被警毆打必定是「唔衰攞嚟衰」,好人有限;80天後近千人被警方拘捕,不僅有學生議員學者歌手諸多名人,更有無數因感人片段而在網上瘋傳的男女老幼,被警打傷的市民成為抗暴象徵,警方簽發的「被捕證明」及「保釋紙」快要變成引以為傲的「抗命身份證」。<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">以上<span lang="EN-US">12項香港「新非常態」中的新現實,全部指向一項結論:公民抗命方興未艾,而抗命的空間比起80天前大大拓濶,這是雨傘運動至今可見的成果。新開拓的不僅是城市空間,更重要是人心和意識形態。如何發揮想象,利用新空間削弱政府管治的正當性,迫使北京調整一國兩制,歸還港人基本政治權利和扭轉權貴壟斷的格局,將會是新世代最大的政治博奕。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;"><span style="color: black; font-family: Calibri; font-size: xx-small;">蘋果日報</span>》</span></span><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, </span></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">2014</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">年12</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">月16</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">日</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">]</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-26120048404461235032015-01-06T09:00:00.001+08:002015-01-06T09:01:48.102+08:00「不可憾動」的官民比拼<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span lang="EN-US">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span lang="EN-US">公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">自從警方上周在旺角借法庭權威清場以後,梁振英政府最害怕的一幕逐步變成現實:清場不等於回復正常,武力鎮壓不等於回復秩序。儘管一眾官員假裝一切如常,甚至借故外訪逃避責任,從議會到街頭,香港正一步步邁向不可管治的「非常態」。梁振英對於雙學包圍政總,不僅沒有承認政府拒絕回應政改訴求而導致行動升級的責任,更大言不慚地說「是可忍孰不可忍」,實質上他縱容警隊把公權力最醜惡的一面暴露於世人面前,所有香港人都是受害者。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">光靠主流傳媒特別是電視畫面的報導,難以讓人明白學生和市民追求民主、誓要政府回應普選訴求的決心。官員、警方和建制派議員都常用「暴徒」、「激進份子」、「滋事份子」來形容包圍政總的佔領人士,這些標籤無非用來降低大眾看見年輕人頭破血流時的同理心,令警員施暴看來更合理。儘管在包圍政總期間沒有任何佔領者主動攻擊警員身體的畫面,電視台集中報導警員受傷,放大從一名青年背包上搜出的一雙木棍,路上的磚頭或木板盾牌,卻至今未有傳媒列出一份佔領者傷員清單,好像市民學生被打傷是理所當然。専權政府慣用的宣傳技倆在香港習以為常,新聞界責無旁貸。</span><a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="_GoBack"></a><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span lang="EN-US">負面標籤 極權慣用技倆</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">究竟「暴徒」標籤背後的真相如何?根據筆者周日晚在龍和道現場所見,無論大家是否認同包圍政總的行動或雙學是否組織失誤,佔領者自發表現的勇氣與克制令人感動。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">因應建築佈局,要包圍政總便須衝破警方防線進入龍和道,別無他法。未曾身歷其境的人,難以明白站在一排排全副武裝的警員面前,手無寸鐵卻要冒險犯難,需有多大決心。筆者看著周圍一個個年輕人的眼神,有男有女,他們沒有被激情矇蔽,每人小心點算自己身上裝備(其實頂多是不堪一擊的眼罩、頭盔或雨傘),再盤算自己能捱上多少警棍或催淚水,然後決定站在前排或後方。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">佔領者跟常人一樣,內心恐懼,因為知道往前站可能頭破血流或被捕入獄。他們跟常人不一樣,因為用決心克服恐懼,倒吸一口大氣往前,演活了「勇氣」的意義。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">最令人痛心的情景,是佔領者明知必「輸」無疑,因為他們從沒有以擊倒警員為目標,只是準備用捱打的方式希望在空間突圍。明知一己要承受皮肉之苦而只防備不還擊,實在需要無比克制。和平抗爭對多數人而言只是理念,但對於警棍拳頭打在身上而秉持理念不動搖的人,你能稱他們是激進份子嗎?他們捱打不為甚麼,只為爭取最卑微的普選權利,沒有拿走一包糖果一條金鍊的私慾,你能稱他們是暴徒嗎?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><i><span lang="EN-US">警隊異化
威脅港人自由</span></i></b><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">正因佔領者甘願捱打的和平本質,警員的暴力特別令人憤慨。雖然肢體衝撞難免,但未聞佔領者刻意威脅執勤警員的人身安全,所以亂揮警棍、拳打腳踢、推倒按地、濫施胡椒噴霧和催淚水,都是遠超執勤所需的暴力。佔領者經常互相提醒,警員並非敵人;但過去幾個月梁班子成功令警隊異質化,以同仇敵愾之名,製造內心仇恨,把佔領者視為必須擊倒的頑敵。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">異化的惡果已經浮現:警員粗口指罵、向佔領者舉中指、更有三名便衣警員休班後途經海富中心時涉嫌恐嚇女生「再嘈就拉你番差館強姦」,招致佔領者反包圍還擊。若果香港各界不馬上警覺,嚴正要求政府撥亂反正,警隊此後會從法治的守護者蛻變成威權統治的工具。警察今天辱罵毆打佔領者,明天便粗暴鉗制政治異見者,警民關係淪為施暴與抗暴的關係。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">京港官員罔顧憲制秩序而強稱人大8.31決議「不可撼動」,他們至今應該看清楚,香港新世代追求真普選的決心是名符其實「不可撼動」。從旺角鳩鳴到金鐘政總立法會,上演一場又一場長官意志對人民決心的比併,亦是專制權力對道德勇氣的比併。比併自有高低起伏,勝負未可逆料,但歷史不會薄待決心堅定的人民。</span><br />
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<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-size: 11pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;">明報》</span></span><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, </span></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">2014</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">年12</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">月3</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">日</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">]</span></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-30005962769255534502015-01-05T23:52:00.002+08:002015-01-09T12:25:06.003+08:00靠估靠嚇 糟蹋歴史<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">黎廣德<span lang="EN-US"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">儘管專權政治陰霾不散,<span lang="EN-US">2014年本應是香港人值得慶賀的一年,因為上千年前先人遺下的文化遺產就在沙中線土瓜灣站地盤發現,引證了九龍城聖山是自宋朝至今的重要聚落。香港毋須為了政治正確而攀附作海上絲路重鎮,這古蹟羣本身就是香港特殊地位的本土象徵。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">可惜發展局長陳茂波把喜事變壞事的本領特別高強,因為當他今年四月宣佈考古發現的時候,市民驚覺<span lang="EN-US">239個遺跡中有238個已被港鐵移走,喪失原址保育的機會。政府隨後開展第二、三期範圍的考古發掘,在民間團體的緊密監察下,港鐵稍為收斂,多保留了10處古蹟。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">十天前陳茂波與運房局長張炳良共同宣佈「階段性的保育方案」,建議對尚未移走的古蹟中的其中<span lang="EN-US">7項原址保育,卻對已被移走的238處古蹟隻字不提。由於聖山遺跡的重點是九龍城宋皇臺一帶的「居民遺址」,即分屬不同朝代的古蹟羣而非單項文物,所以政府</span></span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">方案</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">保留幾個孤苦伶仃的古井,等於只見樹木不見林</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,歴史價值恐怕再被糟蹋。陳茂波至今不敢回應會否原址重置已移走的大部份古蹟,以全面建設聖山遺址公園,反而強調不著邊際的文物徑,轉移公眾視線。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">政府架構角色矛盾,陳茂波身兼古物事務監督,但處理古蹟保育章法大亂,不僅視國際標準如無物,甚至違背了國家文物局依循的《中國文物古跡保護準則》。他最厲害的武器是「一味靠估」:港鐵聲稱完成考古發掘但連中期報告都未公佈,一份完整的古蹟清單也欠奉;各項古蹟的歴史、科學、美學和社會價值理應由一個跨學科的專家組進行文化評價,但政府好像矇然不知。在這一片空白之中,陳氏一人掌握對古蹟的生殺大權,他表明不會諮詢公眾,準備匆匆替這些埋在地下千年的祖先遺產下判書,古蹟條例的荒謬與梁振英政府的行政霸權一脈相承。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">陳茂波「靠估」有何惡果?最清楚的例子莫如處於車站範圍的<span lang="EN-US">J2井和引水糟,古井屬宋元時期而引水糟屬清末時期,陳氏認為古井不夠「整全」,有百年歴史的引水糟「太新」,所以不值得花錢原址保育。事實上,這項古蹟活生生證明了一個宋朝先人開挖的水井,在千年後仍能惠澤後人,活水不斷,承先啟後,歷史價值重大。根據《中國文物古跡保護準則》,這正好屬於必須保存現狀的古蹟類別:「文物古迹群体的布局」和「文物古迹群中不同时期有价值的各个单体」。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">按照長官意志「靠估」,猶如亂點鴛鴦譜,古蹟命運凍過水。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">配合陳茂波「靠嚇」的另一位長官是張炳良,他聲稱政府必須在本月初決定保育方案,否則每延誤一個月工程費用便增加<span lang="EN-US">2.5億元。究竟這說法有多少水份?<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">沙中線預定通車日期是<span lang="EN-US">2020年,而土瓜灣站預定完工日期是2018年。即使考古發掘一如港鐵聲稱多用了11個月,原址保育再多用4個月,土瓜灣站也有充裕時間在2020年前完成,不會是延誤與否的關鍵。況且港鐵承認有5段工程因其他原因滯後,延誤時間從2至6個月不等,特別是沙中線過海段已因中環灣仔繞道工程遲交地盤6個月而未能動工,所以根本不敢承諾在2020年準時通車。此情此景,港鐵明顯是找文物古蹟作「替死鬼」,張炳良豈可照單全收,再以此嚇唬市民?<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">港鐵聲稱原址保育<span lang="EN-US">J2古井及引水溝需花13億元也是報大數,估計直接保育成本最多三數億元,約10億元是擴大車站及預留给承建商索償的損失,政府不能因市民支持原址保育而任由港鐵變大花筒。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">要同時加快工程和做好古蹟保育並不困難,關鍵是政府必須採納國際通用的「預先防範」原則:在未有全盤評價以前,有辦法原址保育的古蹟必須原址保育,因為正如《中國文物古跡保護準則》強調:「文物古迹的不可再生性,决定了对它干预的任何一个错误,都是不可挽回的。」<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">梁振英政府若把聖山古蹟弄得支離破碎,等於削弱國家主席習近平鼓吹的「海上絲路」論述。無論是不充份配合國家發展策略,還是破壞本土文化遺產,恐怕都是梁班子擔當不起的歴史罪名。</span><br />
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br /></span><span style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">[原刊於《蘋果日報》, 2014年12月2日]</span></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-3410390649207233282015-01-05T23:44:00.002+08:002015-01-05T23:44:16.698+08:00沙中線保育方案本末倒置<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">黎廣德<span lang="EN-US"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">上周民政事務局長曾德成在網誌以沙中線土爪灣站出土文物引證香港屬「海上絲路」重鎮,隨後發展局長陳茂波與運房局長張炳良一起見傳媒介紹保育古蹟方案。三位局長同時開腔推介一項政府措施非常罕見,足證保育宋元聖山遺址已屬政治正確的梁振英政府議程。有心保護本土歴史固然是好事,但細看政府方案,粗疏遺漏不少,更要命的是在三個關節眼本末倒置。這「三宗罪」隨時令保育變成破壞,有糟蹋歴史之虞。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">要判定保育方案是否合適,先要明白今次出土的聖山遺蹟是甚麼。港鐵考古隊其中兩位專家的師父、北大教授秦大樹曾經親自到土瓜灣現場勘察,他形容遺跡規模相當罕見,「從目前的發現可以明顯看出,這是一個很大的民居遺址,出土的文物也包括很多南宋時代的瓷器,藝術已經很成熟。香港同類的發現並不多,對香港歷史認知非常重要,相當值得保護。」遺跡的重點是「居民遺址」,即互有關連並分屬不同朝代的古蹟羣,而非單項文物。單在第一期考古範圍,已經發現<span lang="EN-US">239處遺跡,3,700件重要器物和1000多箱普通器物,而由於第二、第三期的考古範圍港鐵沒有公佈考古報告,所以總數不詳。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">政府方案的第一宗罪是</span></b><b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">保育</span></b><b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">價值錯置</span></b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">:雖然陳茂波承認聖山古蹟「反映香港的歷史和社會發展,是香港近年重大的考古發現」,但他提議的保育方案只針對<span lang="EN-US">10項在第二、三期發現的遺蹟和一個在第一期發現的古井,即在已公佈的249項遺跡中,只對11項提出保育方案,其中有7項確定原址保育,連百份之3也沒有,但陳茂波竟然對傳媒表示「我們建議將大部分的遺蹟作原址保留」。這種數學題我們不懂算,只能請陳氏所屬的香港會計師公會調查一下。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這個少得可憐的保育比例,顯示政府根本不理解聖山遺址作為「古蹟羣」的價值,因為根據《中國文物古跡保護準則》<span lang="EN-US">(這是一套國家文物局參照《威尼斯憲章》制訂後自願採納的國際標準,不涉外國勢力干預,下稱《保護準則》)</span></span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,必須保存現狀的古蹟特別包括「文物古迹群体的布局」和「文物古迹群中不同时期有价值的各个单体」,而陳茂波在<span lang="EN-US">249項只選11項保育,等於放棄「古蹟羣」的價值。這種只見樹木不見林的價值判斷,正是破壞歷史的元兇。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">政府方案的第二宗罪是設計理念主次不分</span></b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">:方案明顯由港鐵主導,最詳盡的分析集中於對工程的影響,而對於如何彰顯古蹟價值,如何保存歴史氛圍,如何讓社群得益最大等等,幾乎一片空白,這充其量是一個如何避免古蹟妨礙進度的工程方案。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">根據《保護準則》規定的工作程序,等一步是為文物古跡進行調查,但第二、三期範圍的考古報告未知完成與否;第二步是評估文物價值,但從未聞政府展開獨立評估工作。當完成首兩步後,才能制訂文物保護規劃和方案。很明顯,政府是繞過了兩項步驟,偷步推出一個所謂「階段性的保育方案」,以是否方便工程施工作為設計準則。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">價值評估是制訂保育方案的知識基礎,政府的做法猶如跑到有很多月台的總站趕火車,不問目的地便跳上最早開出的列車,結果火車開得越快,距離自己的目的地越遠。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">以剛好處於土瓜灣站範圍的<span lang="EN-US">J2井和引水糟為例,古井屬宋元時期而引水糟屬二十世紀初期,陳茂波說這古蹟不夠整全,田北辰說這是半新半舊,所以只應採納花1千萬元的拆遷方案,而不應花13億元作原址保留(此估算有很大水份,下面再談)</span></span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,這是外行人用最狹隘的考古價值作唯一標準。事實上,這項古蹟活生生地證明了一個宋元先人開挖的水井,在近千年後仍能惠澤後人,篳路襤褸,活水不斷,承先啟後,歷史價值的重大實在難以估量,非原址保育不可。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">港鐵的方案視這古蹟為負累,建議用一套巨型鋼板樁牆把它圍在車站中間,猶如一個封閉歷史的古蹟監獄。若果交給一個稍懂歷史價值的設計師,都會用開放式設計,透過玻璃裝置讓乘客從上中下角度全方位欣賞到古蹟的面貌,成為土瓜灣「聖山車站」最觸目的亮點。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">再進一步,政府若能將第一期已經移走的<span lang="EN-US">238項古蹟中的大部份原址重置,便正好在車站頂層建立一個聖山遺址公園,重現一個千年聚落的面貌,包括有民房建築、陶瓷工場、珊瑚石牆、地台、窯、灰坑、水井、水溝、墓葬等等,配合三千多件出土文物的展示廳,肯定是重現香港古歴史的盛事,相比起政府建議原址保留7件古蹟,效果差天共地。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">政府方案的第三宗罪是顛倒政策優次</span></b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">:雖然名為介紹保育方案,兩位局長的發言重點只得一個字<span lang="EN-US"> -「錢」,兼且數字誤導。政府稱因考古延誤了11個月,所以多花了31億元,實情是港鐵承認有5段工程因其他原因滯後,延誤時間從2至6個月不等。港鐵明顯想找文物古蹟作「替死鬼」,因為若果其他工程延誤被証實是因管理不善導致,港鐵便須承擔超支責任,不能迫政府埋單。但張炳良肩負監督工程的責任,為何甘願把港鐵的託詞照單全收?<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">更有甚者,港鐵從<span lang="EN-US">2012年11月發掘古蹟至今,足足花了兩年時間,有很多步驟是「自取其慢」,例如第二、三期考古範圍沒有在第一期發掘出大量文物時馬上同步展開,延遲了近半年。筆者與關注團體今年八月與政府官員開會時已提出港鐵應先就已知的古跡制訂保育方案,至今也拖了三個月,究竟責任誰屬?政府提醒(實為警告)</span></span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">市民若不能在<span lang="EN-US">12月初決定方案便須每月損失2.5億元,那麼過去延誤了大半年決策的損失近20億元,港鐵或主事官員如何賠償給市民?<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">更有甚者,港鐵聲稱原址保育<span lang="EN-US">J2古井及引水溝需花13億元,一套鋼板樁牆絕不可能如此昂貴,估計近10億元是港鐵估計延誤4個月而預留给承建商索償的損失,但工程延誤有多種原因,例如沙中線過海段已因中環灣仔繞道工程遲交地盤6個月,所以完工日期有很多變數,即使沒有古蹟也可能<a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="_GoBack"></a>照樣延誤。港鐵將並非直接用於保育工程的支出算入古蹟頭上,只是誤導公眾的把戲。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">梁班子明明宣稱重視文物保育,但事事以金錢掛帥替古蹟「算死草」,卻對基建超支近千億元視若無睹,政策顛倒莫此為甚。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">特區政府對這堪稱千年一遇的古蹟保育方案不作公眾諮詢,不公開考古報告,不進行文化價值評估,違背《中國文物古跡保護準則》,為迫市民接受方案不惜捏造數據。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">正如《保護準則》強調:「文物古迹的不可再生性,决定了对它干预的任何一个错误,都是不可挽回的。</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」若果梁振英政府犯錯,無論是否下台,都永遠無法修補歷史的傷口。</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br /></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-60050360760466555622015-01-05T23:25:00.000+08:002015-01-05T23:30:54.082+08:00留守佔領區意義重大<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: right;">
<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">亞太峰會在北京落幕,金銅旺三個佔領區依然生氣勃勃。梁振英政府欲借助法庭威信清場,</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">曾協助執行</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">禁制令</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">的</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">團體卻被揭發與內地黨政軍部門有千絲萬縷的關係,令人</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">憂慮</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">北京鼓吹的「三權合作」可能就在眼前。面對鋪天蓋地的扭曲宣傳,認清佔領區對雨傘運動的意義至為重要。發展至今,雨傘運動已令香港進入「新常態」,佔中已演變成以政改為主軸的「城市再造運動」,而佔領區就是城市再造的地標。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">毋忘初衷,雨傘運動爭取真普選,即在最根本的政治體制中建立公民參與機制,正是永續發展的第四支柱</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">(participation)</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,補足其餘三條支柱:社會公義</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">(People), </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">環境質素</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">(Planet)</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> 和</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">經濟繁榮</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">(Prosperity)</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">。政府可持續發展委員會越做越縮,不但因為三</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">P</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">失衡,更因為失去了第四</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">P</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,越「發展」越失民心。「再造香港」,就是要重建四條支柱。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">把雨傘運動放在城市再造的框架分析,更易看清佔領區的三重特殊角色。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">政治改革火藥庫</span></b><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">:梁振英政府嘗試過金鐘濫發催淚彈和旺角清場變轉場的教訓後,明白到佔領區是不能硬碰的火藥庫,因為引爆的結果難料,隨時炸傷自己。事實上,火藥庫每存在一天,便令建制內的裂痕多擴大一點。最新發展是習近平在京會面時不肯當面撐梁,建制中人靜悄悄調低「顏色革命論」和「外力干預論」,南華早報報導中央官員因應新世代訴求而考慮更尊重「兩制」,正好顯示了佔領區「存在就是壓力」的微妙作用。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">雖然沒有人說得準中央何時放棄</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">831</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">決議,但歷史學者自會留意,</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">25</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">年前東德共黨總書記昂納克</span><span style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 9.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">(</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: Arial; font-size: 9.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">Erich Honecker</span><span style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">公開預言「柏林圍牆在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">50</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">至</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">100</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">年內都不會倒」,十個月後</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">柏林圍牆便應聲倒下。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">社會覺醒催化劑</span></b><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">:一班醫生用癌症批評佔中卻歪打正著,因為香港過去</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">17</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">年來確實患上政制腫瘤,過去諱疾忌醫,今天青年學生帶頭停用止痛藥,可惜手執手術刀的大夫仍然不肯動手。佔領區的存在提醒所有人腫瘤正日益增大,有人捱不了痛,有人拒絕相信自己身患危疾,但退場等於落嗎啡止痛,待腫瘤再增大時恐怕欲救無從。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">佔領區已發展成世界級的藝術展示場,創意澎湃,瀰漫自由意識,不但英國</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">V&A</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">博物館在洽商保留藝術展品,更令香港首</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">度榮登</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">全球「好城市」榜首</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">(2014 Good City Index)</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">。區內議題從普選擴展至全民退保、三堆一爐、東北新界、基建大白象等等。同學自發落區洗樓,支持者印<a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="_GoBack"></a>製明信片邀請街坊親友參加考察團,正好顯示佔領區是催化社會覺醒的文宣基地。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">公共空間實驗場</span></b><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">:反佔中人士高喊「還路於民」,誰不知過去主要由有車階級專享的道路,經過市民自發規劃,竟然變成帳篷區、有機園圃、物資站、充電站、醫療站、風電場、自修室、連儂牆、演講台、回收站、統計站、民意收集站、心靈支援站、關帝廟、工場、畫室,林林總總,顛覆了所有規劃師的想像,正好</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">脗</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">合「還路於民」。最令人驚嘆是佔領區內的責任意識,和平守禮、環保回收、資源共享,超前實</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">踐</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">公民共治的理想。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">有人覺得城市不回復「正常」不安心,但香港過去</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">17</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">年本來就處於政治權力失衡的「非常態」之中,現在只是進入另一個「新非常態」</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">(new abnormal)
</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">而已。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">立法會運作停頓,政策無法推展,警權為政治服務,黑道變管治工具,梁振英踐踏公權與私利的道德底線,其實特區已提早進入不可管治狀態,佔領區反而是「非常態」中的一片綠洲。清場不會令香港回復正常,只有當中央醒覺</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">:</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">賦權新世代再造香港</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">是符合中港共同利益的唯一生路,我城</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">才會真正過渡至新常態。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-5540273559615967452015-01-05T22:56:00.001+08:002015-01-05T23:01:13.404+08:00致在大火前裝睡的官員<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">特首梁振英班子的司長、正副局長和局長助理:你們加起來近四十位,全部在香港受教育,大部份在本地高等學府畢業,不少在外國拿了深造學位,可說是香港社會裁培的精英。你們每天出入中環金鐘,都會瞥見佔領區,不可能看不到連儂牆、雨傘巨人、風力發電站、以至無數在帳篷留守的青年、在臨時書桌前苦讀的學生、往物資站送飯送湯的市民,和絕食近四十天的退休測量師莫紹文。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">很奇怪,你們似乎對這一切無動於衷,對這場香港五十年來未見的政治大火,好像視而不見。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">你們當中,有人扮演真假不分的三流評論員:任何稍有學術常識的人,都明白經濟數據受眾多內外因素左右,除非在事過境遷後用嚴謹的數學模型分析,根本不可能論斷佔中帶來甚麼影響,但你們竟然引導市民相信佔中拖低旅游零售,甚至把意大利奢侈品牌因內地打貪而消售額下滑也歸咎佔中。難道你們忘記了特區官員的責任是安撫投資者,理應強調危機當前外商資產依然絲毫無損的事實,以維護香港利益?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">你們當中,有人扮演不懂政治的市井文盲:根據香港大學民意計劃的調查,曾經參與佔領集會的香港人共佔全港</span><span lang="EN-US">18</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">歲以上市民的百份之</span><span lang="EN-US">18</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">,即有</span><span lang="EN-US">110</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">萬香港人正為爭取基本政治權利而抗爭,</span><span lang="EN-US">27</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">位議員亦在立法會進行全面不合作運動,重要議案無法通過。但你們整天嚷著交通阻塞和誇大市民不便,好像恢復街頭秩序便可以天下太平,難道這就是你們對今天管治危機的認識?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">更有甚者,你們集體扮演身不由己的扯線公仔:作為堂堂問責官員,你們擁有統領</span><span lang="EN-US">17</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">萬公務員和管理兩萬億港元儲備的公權力,但面對大是大非的抉擇,明知政改僵局握殺了香港未來,你們不是低頭迴避,便是重複北京官員的陳腔濫調。難道你們喪失了自由意志,變成權力的木偶?</span><a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="_GoBack"></a><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">新世代已經撐起雨傘清楚說明:三十年前訂下的基本法已經過時,財閥壟斷政治權力的時代必須結束,香港人不會接受一錘定音的屈辱。奈何你們還在裝睡?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">過去一個多月,香港人走出了最艱難的一步,就是用血肉之軀,不顧自身安危爭取改變,這是給你們這一批被時代選中的官員最有力的籌碼,勸諫中央啟動「一國兩制</span><span lang="EN-US">2.0</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">」的更新工程,邁向公平普選,以臻善治。奈何你們還在裝睡?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">烈火已在山腳燃燒,趁你們還能在山頂安睡的日子,請看清楚那一張張睡在堅硬柏油路上的青春臉孔,一雙雙在警棍面前緊握圍欄不放的手腕,一片片在連儂牆上貼滿卑微願望的便條,上面有你們親友子女的筆跡。他們如雞蛋般脆弱,唯一的防護是體內的熱血,而你們就是專權的執行者。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">香港人沒有侈望,只要求你們履行從政者的基本道德操守:在權力面前說出真話,在公眾面前說出香港人的心底話。與其在一個已經報廢的政府內妄想自己能夠發揮所長,倒不如抛開名利障,重拾做人的尊嚴。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">裝睡太久,總會有無法起來的一天。</span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-44692528843071202832014-12-14T17:17:00.002+08:002014-12-14T17:41:44.227+08:002014-11-20 沙中綫古蹟保育:黎廣德、田北辰訪問【大鳴大放】<div class="separator" style="background-color: white; clear: both; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px; text-align: center;">
<span style="line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">訪問第一節</span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">訪問第</span><span style="line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">二</span><span style="line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">節</span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">訪問第一節</span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">訪問第</span><span style="line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">二</span><span style="line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">節</span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-37846614438165108362014-11-02T13:32:00.001+08:002014-11-02T19:16:12.215+08:00建制裂痕湧現 「否認指數」急升<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">儘管過去幾天藍絲帶重現街頭成為傳媒焦點,但真正影響政局變化的現象卻是中央與特區建制之間的裂痕,由於雨傘運動的壓力正逐步擴大。雖然中央政府現今舉棋不定,但當他們明白無法以高壓手段迫令學生從佔領區退場,而政務司長林鄭月娥的「對話」虛招又已江郎才盡的時候,真正回應真普選訴求的方案才會出現。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">細心觀察,建制陣營在短短一周之內最少有六條裂痕浮面。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">首先是梁振英在政府與學聯對話前一天,於國際傳媒專訪中提出窮人不應享有公平選舉權的「<span lang="EN-US">14k」言論,不但惹怒基層和社福界,更令一眾「梁粉」,包括何喜華、鍾逸傑、羅致光以及陳婉嫻等均公開劃清界線。第二條裂痕在周三的立法會大會,有20名建制派議員缺席導致流會,其中新民黨及自由黨更全數缺席,顯然對於支持梁班子施政早己意興闌珊。</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">另兩條裂痕同在上周五出現:自由黨田北俊認為梁振英「令社會分化和影響國際形象,應該考慮向中央請辭」;梁振英在下午聲稱體育界和宗教界「沒有任何經濟貢獻」,到晚上則由特首辦發聲明「補鑊」,但已令這兩個傳統上屬保守陣營的界別領袖震怒甚至公開批評。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">最刺眼的裂痕是新華社上周六於一日內兩度發表針對本港商界言論,先是中午以英文署名文章點名指李嘉誠、李兆基、郭鶴年及吳光正,未有就佔中事件表態;晚上卻改口風,刪掉文章並刊登中文文章表示多名商界人士都曾發表批評佔中言論。但事實擺在眼前,一眾巨富的反佔中言論都是在<span lang="EN-US">9.28前發表,這是否意味有人正在背後勸諫中央改弦易轍,但惹來鷹派官員不滿?</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">最不起眼的一道裂痕出自財政司長曾俊華上周日的網誌,他表面上批評佔領者不應因追求民主而損害法治,但看深一層,他其實是借美籍日裔學者福山的新書,指出「政府、法治、民主」三者缺一不可,暗諷梁振英未能建立強而有力的政府,以至無法有效管治,而向他推介新書的是「來自內地的朋友」。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">凡是有關政治人物去留的傳聞,總有一套潛規則:第一階段若無其事,第二階段矢口否認,第三階段不作評論,然後是傳聞變成事實。究竟梁振英會否辭職?早已過了第一階段,所以量度傳聞的最佳方法是「否認指數」:否認越頻密,成真的機會越大。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">雨傘運動發生前,梁振英是在<span lang="EN-US">7月初立法會答問大會上否認辭職。但在9.28之後,「否認指數」直線上升,他親口否認的日子在10月2、12、13及25日,再加上利用「政府消息人士」(10月1日)及前特首董建華(24日)之口否認,光在一個月內已有6次。噩夢臨近,恐怕梁振英心裏有數,醒目的建制派及城中巨富自不會「跟車太貼」。</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">正當雨傘運動漸見成果之際,此刻最忌自亂陣腳。學聯取消廣場公投是明智之舉,因為運動最有力的籌碼是佔領者堅忍不拔的精神:堅持和平留守、拒絕挑釁,令政府沒有暴力清場的可乘之機,比任何對話或公投能更有效爭取到實質成果,建制裂痕的出現就是最隹明證。今天佔領區的重點並非硬件建設,反而應著眼於提升民眾認同和深化民主意識的軟件建設,例如邀請持相同理念的團體舉辦活動,豐富藝術創作,邀請市民參加日間導賞團和留守體驗團。若果每位支持者能每隔兩天邀請到一位親友到場,公民覺醒便很快以幾何級數上升。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">南非偉人曼德拉有一句名言<span lang="EN-US">:「這是如此不可能 </span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">-</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> 直到成真的一刻為止。」(It
always seems impossible until it’s done.)</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">當所有人都告訴你中央不可能讓步的時候,你便更能理解箇中真義,直到成功的一天。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;"><span style="color: black; font-family: Calibri; font-size: xx-small;">蘋果日報</span>》</span></span><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, </span></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri; font-size: xx-small;">原文題為</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: x-small;">《建制六條裂痕浮現》</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri; font-size: xx-small;"> </span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12px;">,</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;"> 2014</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">年10</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">月28</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">日</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">]</span><br />
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-u5G80ZOYmr4/VFXAKKApNzI/AAAAAAAAAGg/HzfYaHuVK8g/s1600/%E5%89%AA%E8%B2%BC%E7%B0%BF01.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-u5G80ZOYmr4/VFXAKKApNzI/AAAAAAAAAGg/HzfYaHuVK8g/s1600/%E5%89%AA%E8%B2%BC%E7%B0%BF01.jpg" height="103" width="400" /></a></div>
<i><span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span lang="EN-US"><br /></span></span></i>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-31438163522145173272014-11-02T13:22:00.001+08:002014-11-02T19:18:04.005+08:00人大修改決議是唯一出路<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">學聯與政府的政改對話落幕,儘管林鄭月娥三人組用盡甘言巧語</span><span lang="EN-US">(</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">五名政府代表中有兩人沒有在「對話」中發言</span><span lang="EN-US">)</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">,仍然無法說服學生「袋住先」,更遑論勸退留守在三個佔領區的市民。建制派一籌莫展,不少議員光脆三緘其口,與政改諮詢期間高調推銷保守方案時大異其趣,有點像小孩闖出大禍,縮在牆角免被捱罵的窘態。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">雨傘運動風起雲湧,不少官員至今還未來得及了解實情,反被梁振英和北京官員因條件反射而推出的宣傳攻勢自我矇蔽,把「老大哥」「真理部」的出品誤作事實,以致無法在僵局中理順思路。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">事到如今,無論是決策者或有心人,只要細心求證都可以認清以下六點事實:</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">運動由公民自主:</span></b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">今次運動由學聯大學生罷課開始,學民思潮中學生加入,再與「和平佔中」結合,泛民政黨扮演支援色,至今主角是堅持佔領留守的學生和市民。經過整整一個月的凝聚與磨合,每位參與者通過自身經歷,理性上確立了對運動目標的認同,感情上與運動集體結成紐帶,已經有「命運共同體」的芻型。因此團體領袖對參與者的號召力已大大削弱,個人自主意識隨著政治覺醒日益高漲,這不僅包括了留守者,更包括了準備隨時上街捍衛學生或佔領區的市民。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">民意走勢非關鍵</span></b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">:佔領運動影響民生勢所難免,政府以此作為迫使佔領者退場的籌碼,由建制團體施展軟功</span><span lang="EN-US">(</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">老伯向學生跪地求撤</span><span lang="EN-US">) </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">和硬功</span><span lang="EN-US">(</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">流氓踩場、的士遊行、團體聲明、法庭禁制令</span><span lang="EN-US">) </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">,影響民間對運動的支持。這種策略無法奏效,因為政黨及佔中三子才需顧慮民意得失,但佔領者本非為了政治本錢而參與,並且深信自己站於道德高地,認定民意走勢只是政府操弄的結果。事實上,所有香港人包括承受短暫損失的市民,圴在免費乘搭因佔領者犧牲而推動的民主順風車,中文大學剛公佈的民意調查更顯示全港市民中支持佔領運動的比例</span><span lang="EN-US">(38%)</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">較反對</span><span lang="EN-US">(36%)</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">為高,因此民意難以動搖參與者的決心。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">組織號召難退場</span></b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">:過去的民主運動由政黨或民間組織牽頭,政府可以看準組織者的弱點進行談判或打擊。今天政府雖與學聯對話,也明白學聯與佔領者之間沒有由上而下的組織關係,只有建基於共同目標的精神感召。換句話說,過去政府透過與運動領袖討價還價的「組織退場」機制,已演變成佔領者以「目標為本」的「自發退場」機制,即只有參與者共同認定運動目標已達的情況下才會共同進退。根據《明報》本周一調查報導,佔領運動參與者中有七成人的訴求完全一致,就是「人大撤回普選框架決定」。所以政府應該慶幸,至今「自發退場」機制仍然基本有效。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">三度落閘成死結:</span></b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">人大常委的</span><span lang="EN-US">8.31</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">決議連落三閘,滴水不漏確保政治異見者無法成為特首候選人,也因此令香港人看得一清二楚,不撤回或修改</span><span lang="EN-US">8.31</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">決議,一國兩制勢成一紙空文,香港人既無從捍衛固有的生活方式,更連人權法治也會逐步失守。這項共識成為雨傘運動的共同目標,所以參與者對林鄭月娥在學聯對話中提出的四點回應均有一致看法:無論政府提交民情報告或建立多方平台有多大「誠意」,若果不動搖</span><span lang="EN-US">8.31</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">決議,市民「不會收貨」。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">鐵腕鎮壓大輸家:</span></b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">沒有人會指望中共政權因為人權道德的考慮而排除動武的可能,但以成本效益的實利角度計算,中共和本地權貴利益集團必然是鐵腕鎮壓的最大輸家。正如《經濟學人》分析,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">國際投資市場有「狗屋效應」<span lang="EN-US">(dog factor),即國家股票市場因為身處專制獨裁政權而帶來的不確定性,令平均市盈率長期處於低位。若香港在鐵腕鎮壓後出現「狗屋效應」,市盈率將由10.8跌至5.6,等於股價平均下跌百份之48,總市值損失11.8萬億港元。(詳見拙文《鐵腕鎮壓的真正輸家》,明報2014年10月13日)</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">新世代一國兩夢:</span></b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">雨傘運動推動公民覺醒,年輕一代不但渴求民主,更要求有足夠空間和自由,開拓他們用新價值塑造的城市願景。從佔領區所見的環保意識、藝術創作、平等對話、共享經濟等在地實踐,可以窺見這個「香港夢」正在逐步成形。管治者回應佔領者的政改訴求只是第一步,更大的挑戰是回應新世代對「香港夢」的追求,並因此而激發的公共政策和制度矛盾。新世代「香港夢」與習近平的「中國夢」如何調和,正是「一國兩夢」的挑戰,影響必更深遠。</span><a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="_GoBack"></a><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><i><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">一箭雙雕</span></i></b><b><i><span lang="EN-US"> </span></i></b><b><i><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">撥亂反正</span></i></b><b><i><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></i></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">綜合以上事實,無論從香港整體或中共權貴利益而言,要令香港回復「可管治」狀態的最低成本策略,必然是由人大找一個體面方式修正</span><span lang="EN-US">8.31</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">決定,讓香港人在基本法體制內發展真正民主普選制度,放棄體制外抗爭。說到底,中央還有「守尾門」任命特首與否的權力。民主發展無可避免會觸動各階層利益,但利益調整在有序可控的情況下進行,比起今天僵局爆破可能導致的損失,不僅輸家少得多,更不排除有部份建制中人會變贏家。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">學聯常委梁麗幗在對話中指出全國人大有修改人大常委決議的權力,與近日劉夢熊和施路先生撰文質疑</span><span lang="EN-US">8.31</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">決議是否合憲遙相呼應。但以中共辦事的方式,改變決定意味有人錯判誤判,因此須找人承擔責任。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">從大局着想,既要令佔領者退場亦要穩住未來兩年局勢,一箭雙雕之策必然是更換特首與修正</span><span lang="EN-US">8.31</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">決議同步進行。習近平自</span><span lang="EN-US">2012</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">年十八大上台以來,至今共有</span><span lang="EN-US">48</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">位省部級官員被撤,多一個梁振英或張曉明下台,對中央「威信」的損害頂多佔</span><span lang="EN-US">49</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">份之一,確是小菜一碟。這正是打破政改僵局,讓中央與香港以最少代價重新上路的契機,符合十八大四中全會「依法治國」的戰略部署。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">當前全港最高危的地方不在旺角而在上亞里畢道,有人可能趁中央舉棋不定,不惜用盡黑白紅藍各種手段製造血腥亂局,意圖把中央綁上戰車,令一己權位越亂越穩。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;"><span style="color: black; font-family: SimSun; font-size: x-small;">信報</span>》</span></span><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, </span></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri; font-size: xx-small;">原文題為</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: x-small;">《人大修改決議才是唯一出路》</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri; font-size: xx-small;"> </span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12px;">,</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;"> 2014</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">年10</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">月24</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">日</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">]</span><br />
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-3Cy7HyIoaO0/VFW-KFc0Q5I/AAAAAAAAAGU/7KmL4JOMT9M/s1600/%E5%89%AA%E8%B2%BC%E7%B0%BF01.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-3Cy7HyIoaO0/VFW-KFc0Q5I/AAAAAAAAAGU/7KmL4JOMT9M/s1600/%E5%89%AA%E8%B2%BC%E7%B0%BF01.jpg" height="218" width="400" /></a></div>
<i><span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><br /></span></i>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-36365604272990293862014-11-02T13:13:00.002+08:002014-11-02T19:25:59.041+08:00林鄭月娥的三種選擇<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span lang="EN-US">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span lang="EN-US"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">雨傘運動二十多天,市民期待已久的官民對話,即將於今天舉行。政務司長林鄭月娥究竟如何回應學聯代表的訴求?如何提出方案化解街頭佔領危機?如何令民心盡失的政府重拾管治威信?不僅是香港人的期盼,更是國際傳媒注視的焦點。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">香港人早已看透特首梁振英對中央政府卑躬屈膝的醜態,因此不會期望他能夠挺直腰板,替香港人向北京官員據理力爭。儘管如此,林鄭月娥既受梁振英「委託」為政府談判代表,仍然有很大自由度選擇自己的角色。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">林鄭月娥的第一種選擇是聲色俱厲地為北京官員作傳聲筒:桌面上重複人大常委決議「不可撼動」,政改第二階段諮詢仍有「很大空間」;實質是拒絕承認香港人不接受人大常委政改決議的事實,哄騙市民「袋住先」。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">她的第二種選擇是扮演一位苦口婆心的家長大人:桌面上承認學生追求民主的熱誠,強調世途險阻,實現理想不能一朝一夕,同意繼續溝通;實質是玩弄拖延技倆,再加上街頭流氓和警方的暴力威嚇,寄望佔領區的學生和市民因為軟硬兼施而退場。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">她還有第三種選擇,就是做一個言行一致的聆聽者:虛心了解學聯要求撒回人大決議的道理,嘗試明白年輕一代對香港未來的想象,然後鼓起勇氣,如實向中央官員作出匯報,放低虛無飄渺的面子,認真研究和解方案。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><i><span lang="EN-US">化解危機 一念之間</span></i></b><b><i><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></i></b></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">平心而論,要化解這場香港近50年來最大的政治危機,一點也不困難。因為根據《明報》昨天的調查報導,佔領運動參與者中有七成人的訴求完全一致,就是「人大撤回普選框架決定」。所以即使雨傘運動沒有百份百統一領袖,只要政府針對這訴求制定回應方案,必然可以令留守者和平退場。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">建制派說要求人大常委撤回決定會損害中央威信,所以這是不可能的任務。任何熟悉談判技巧的專家都明白,所謂「面子」或「威信」均屬於自我設定的「虛擬路障」,是談判桌上常用的策略,令對手誤以為這是神聖不可侵犯的禁區,因而未談先退。正如劉夢熊上周五刊於《明報》和施路刊於《蘋果日報》的三篇文章所揭示,人大常委決議違憲在先,因此撤回決議是增加而非削弱人大威信之舉。退一步說,撤回8.31決議只不過是把政改步伐還原至今年8月30日,當時沒有街頭佔領,沒有警民對峙,又有何不可?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">中央決策官員從未親身到港了解民情,主要倚賴梁振英和中聯辦的報告,因而作出一連串誤判與錯判,做成今天僵局。林鄭月娥今天有機會重啟新局,關鍵在於她選擇那一種角色:傳聲筒,家長還是聆聽者?前兩者注定失敗,只有後者才有一線曙光。這選擇不僅關乎她個人榮辱,更預示著特區政府會否把年輕一代推向對立面,還是尊重他們對香港未來的追求。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">林鄭月娥和一眾決策官員欲了解「後佔領時代」的香港,應盡快到政府總部外的「連儂牆」面前,花幾小時細閱那成千上萬的小字條。每一片貼在牆上的字條,都代表了同學和市民對香港的熱愛,對未來的期盼,和互相扶持的心聲。這些字條禁不住風吹雨打,經不起警方清場,但它們集結而成的意志,足以抵禦強權,歷久常新。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;"><span style="color: black; font-family: Calibri; font-size: xx-small;">蘋果日報</span>》</span></span><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, </span></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">2014</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">年10</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">月21</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">日</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">]</span></span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-52763411290039387312014-11-02T13:05:00.004+08:002014-11-02T19:26:13.797+08:00文明與野蠻的對決<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span lang="EN-US">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span lang="EN-US"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">過去二十多天,香港人已見慣了兩種過去十年做夢也想不到的場景。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">在佔領廣場:學生回收垃圾分類,洗刷塗污了的牆壁,替靜坐市民噴霧降溫,整天站在石墩旁扶持路人上落;上班族早上送來麵包,中午帶來飯盒,晚上推來大煲花旗參雞湯;老師和專家義務替學生補課,又從早到晚開設民主講堂;還有默不作聲義載物資的貨車司機和及時出現的搭棚師父。沒有人期望報酬,只因為心中都有一個共同願望。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">也是在佔領廣場:催淚彈在和平示威者的頭上爆開,市民四散奔逃;高舉雙手的男女被扯開眼罩,胡椒噴霧往臉上直射;紋身黑漢推跌護欄青年,先踩兩腳再施施然走開;破口大駡的大叔伸手叉著年輕人頸項,目光堅定的青年垂手挺胸巍然不動;雙手反鎖的社工被抬到暗角,警察拳打腳踢旁若無人。市民都有相同恐懼,難道黑暗就此降臨?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">眼淚,從惶恐的女學生臉上直流,也在久經世故的男子漢眼角滲出;在街角,也在家中。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">曾任加拿大總督的蘇格蘭小說家約翰·布肯(John
Buchan)說過:「不要以為文明與野蠻之間有一道堅實的土牆阻擋,兩者相隔只得一條線、一片玻璃。碰一下,推一下,撒旦的國度便會重臨。」</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">文明與野蠻對比的畫面傳遍全球:佔領區的留守者成為香港最佳的品牌大使,被譽為「全球最有禮的示威者」,不少國際投資者心想:「香港面臨幾十年來最嚴重的政治危機,竟然沒有一家商店的廚窗損毀,那裏能找到投資更安全的城市?」相比之下,2011年倫敦東區暴動,共有五人死亡和2億英鎊財物損失;今年八月美國費格遜市暴動,共有十多家商店被搶掠和20輪警車被毁。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">但不到幾天,當流氓、黑社會和警察暴力的畫面在全球觀眾面前交替出現的時候,世人對香港的印象又再顛倒過來。可是,大家從震撼的畫面中得出了一個屢試不爽的結論:文明,總是抗拒強權;野蠻,才會盲撐政府。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">雨傘革命成為了文明與野蠻的對決。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">如今全球觀眾屏息以待,因為國際經驗預示了一條慣性軌跡:野蠻一方老羞成怒,歪理暴力只會變本加厲;文明一方沉不住氣,受野蠻污染而無法自拔。香港能否在墮落的軌跡中成為例外,關鍵在於文明一方能否克制自持,並以最大的胸襟說服仍未覺醒的多數投向文明,阻遏野蠻擴散;否則野蠻壓倒文明,等同撒旦治港。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">請你勸服身邊的每一個香港人作出抉擇:文明或野蠻,沒有中間。告訴他們,文明最終會戰勝野蠻,人類歴史就是這樣走過來的。</span><a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="_GoBack"></a><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;"><span style="color: black; font-family: Calibri;">蘋果日報</span>》</span></span><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, </span></span><span style="font-family: Calibri;">原文題為</span>《<span style="font-family: Calibri;">文明或野蠻,沒有中間</span>》<span style="font-family: Calibri;"> </span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12px;">,</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;"> 2014</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">年10</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">月20</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">日</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">]</span></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-60798640855848290542014-11-02T12:58:00.002+08:002014-11-02T19:26:48.367+08:00鐵腕鎮壓的真正輸家<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">黎廣德<span lang="EN-US"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">政務司長林鄭月娥擱置與學聯對話,旋即和特首梁振英先後離港北上,學聯學民將雨傘運動轉化為長期佔領,人民日報海外版以「動亂」形容「佔中」,梁振英爆出收受澳洲公司秘密巨款醜聞後急於轉移視線,因此對雨傘運動以武力鎮壓鐵腕清場的陰影揮之不去。誰曾細心分析,政府一旦以血腥鎮壓清場,香港能否在中央政府眼中從今天「不可管治」之局變成國家主席習近平心中的「中國夢」?香港的商賈、中</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: MingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">產和年輕世代之間,誰是贏家或輸家?<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不少市民恐懼六四重臨,中環金鐘或變成另一個天安門。但我們試從統治者的角度分析,把六四的經驗套用在香港,能否理順香港亂局?<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">稍懂歴史的港人均明白,<span lang="EN-US">25年前中央「平定」北京學生民主運動,不是光靠從長安街到天安門的一晚血腥鎮壓,而是閉關鎖國整整一年,通緝追捕民運領袖,隨後連續四、五年高壓管治,甚至兩年前還發生李旺陽「被自殺」事件,所以即使以內地政治封閉的狀態,開動國家機器「平亂」也是一個漫長費事成本鉅大的過程,絕非一朝一夕之事。放諸香港,特區政府如何「平亂」?<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">假使特區政府甘冒天下之大不</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">韙</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,用橡膠子彈或真槍實彈驅散學生,連場流血傷亡之後,會換來一個甚麼場景?過去兩周的官民互動,已為我們做情景分析提供重要啟示。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">從<span lang="EN-US">9.28當天的市民反應可知,一旦發生彈壓,上街維護學生的港人必定數以萬計,警方要平亂便必須加大武力,直至全城宵禁為止。為了維持宵禁的効用,警方必須不惜在全港各區動用武力,範圍遠超金鐘、銅鑼灣與旺角三個佔領區。屆時罷課、罷工、罷市的想像便自動實現,為時多久,難以估計。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<b><i><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">鎮壓平亂<span lang="EN-US"> 加速社會決裂<o:p></o:p></span></span></i></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">假設第一輪的平亂措施生効,特區政府動用武力足以震懾全港市民,香港社會將進入甚麼狀態?從最樂觀的方向評估,工商百業為了恢復生計,民生在幾個月後逐步回復正常,但有兩個階層必定與特區政府全面決裂。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">首先是青年世代:特別是整整一代大中學生,政府如何能與他們修補關係?內地的做法是全面禁聲,全面洗腦,香港能否照辦煮碗?在國際都會中未有先例。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">第二是知識階層:<span lang="EN-US">9.28至今已有三十會成員和環保人士相繼辭去公職,相信辭職潮方興未艾。在一輪彈壓之後,還有多少學者與專業人士甘願為一個血腥政權服務,實在難以想像。即使特區政府重組,起用大批中共嫡系黨羽,在缺乏本土專業階層合作的形勢下,只會演變成一個徹頭徹尾的外來政權,與主流社會矛盾日深。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中央最看重的工商巨賈,他們可否在社會分崩離析的狀態下向中央索取更多利益作為維穩的報酬,成為鐵腕鎮壓的受益人?<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">根據《經濟學人》雜誌今年<span lang="EN-US">7月的文章分析(“Trillion-dollar boo-boo”)</span></span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,國際投資市場有所謂「狗屋效應」,即國家股票市場因為身處專制獨裁政權而帶來的不確定性,令平均市盈率長期處於低位,例如俄羅斯股市的平均市盈率只有<span lang="EN-US">5.2,遠比新興市場的12.5為低,令俄羅斯股民總共損失1萬億美元的價值,其他「令人厭惡」的政權,例如伊朗或阿根廷股市也有同類效應,平均市盈率為5.6。<a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="_GoBack"></a><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<b><i><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">「狗屋效應」<span lang="EN-US"> 損失逾10萬億元<o:p></o:p></span></span></i></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">今天香港股市的市盈率是<span lang="EN-US">10.8,若在鐵腕鎮壓後被「狗屋效應」籠罩,市盈率長期在5.6左右徘徊,即等於上市公司股價平均下跌百份之48,總市值損失11.8萬億港元。本港1600家上市公司中約有一半是內地企業,自2012年至今,內地企業從香港股市集資總額為430億美元,遠高於內地股市的總集資額250億美元,因此屆時內地企業的損失不但是股價大跌,更會喪失籌集海外資金的最重要渠道。至於中共太子黨或官富二代在港投資損失多少,則無從估計。當中央自顧不暇的時候,究竟還可以提供多少特權優惠以彌補港商的損失或酬勞他們的維穩忠貞,是一大疑問。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">事實上,鐵腕鎮壓後要令香港「歸順」的路徑只得一途:將香港從開放的國際都會收縮成半封閉的內地城市,因為高壓政治與自由市場存在先天矛盾,「一國兩制」很快變成歴史陳</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">跡</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,但不見得中共會是贏家。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">按照中共極左派的思維,目前香港活像一個生在體外的良性腫瘤,但一旦將香港與大陸完全融合,香港會變成植入體內的惡性腫瘤,只能用持續不斷的高壓方式鉗制年輕一代和知識階層的反抗,對中共的威脅有增無減。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">究竟中央和特區政府內的鷹派,有沒有深思熟慮的全盤方案,在鐵腕清場之後如何令青年一代歸心?如何令知識階層合作?如何令央企不因虧損而倒閉?如何防止香港對中共政權由小患變大患?<span lang="EN-US"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<b><i><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">反敗為勝<span lang="EN-US"> 改組特區<o:p></o:p></span></span></i></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">種種跡象顯示,特區和中央官員完全不掌握雨傘運動的新形態,如果他們不能喬裝出巡,跑到佔領區內親眼視察和親耳聆聽,只倚靠二三手的匯報,誤判錯判</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">分</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">屬必然。今次運動不單是學生自發,更得到市民實時機動支援,所以在學生與市民之間已發展出「有機紐帶」,平常日子有多少人在場並不重要,亦非支持度升降的指標。另一個特點是參加者對運動目標的一致性與無比堅持,這種「堅韌度」令運動在表面上領導力不強的情況下也散發著一股「冇得輸」的精神。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中央被建制派和中聯辦誤導,令人大常委制訂出一套滴水不漏的落閘方案,如今是作繭自縛,因為人大不修改決定,便無法說服學生和市民退場。事實證明,不管梁振英或林鄭均無法用騙術哄走學生,特區政府是否與學聯對話根本無關宏旨,找些小嘍囉滋擾佔領區亦於事無補,甚至市民對交通阻塞日益反感,都</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">難以</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">削弱運動的「堅韌度」。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中央反敗為勝之道,是趁人大常委本月會議,修訂政改決議結合特區政府改組,主動促成新和解局面,令香港繼續成為「體外」民主實驗場,放慢融合速度。在穩住中共政權的大前提下,國家主席習近平為了防止敵對派系利用「香港因素」進擊,無論犧牲梁振英或張曉明,均屬小菜一碟。</span><br />
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br /></span>
<span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">明報<span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;">》</span></span><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, 2014<span lang="ZH-TW">年10</span><span lang="ZH-TW">月13</span><span lang="ZH-TW">日</span>]</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-90524586173485842822014-11-02T12:45:00.001+08:002014-11-02T19:27:15.367+08:00三招清場失敗後的第四招<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">雨傘革命一波接一波,轉眼間已經歷了三個回合的角力,學生與市民連成一線,將公民抗命運動推到前所未見的新形態:和平有禮、實時機動、勇武有度。梁振英政府不但錯估形勢誤導中央,更因為在國際傳媒面前出醜而令中央丟臉,以至政府內部出現裂痕,中聯辦也面對極大壓力。雙方馬上進入第四回合,至今領導有方、進退有度的學聯和學民諸子,能否在波濤洶湧的環境中認清形勢,至為關鍵。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">從</span><span lang="EN-US">9.28</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">至今,梁振英政府按照原先設計的劇本,動用了三招清場:狠、黑、情。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">第一招是驅之以狠:動用</span><span lang="EN-US">78</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">枚催淚彈,逾期拘留黃之鋒三人,沒收大會音響器材等-連串手段。可是手段越狠,市民反彈越大,令香港人練就了「抗命是常規」的膽識,更把佔領區從金鐘擴展至銅鑼灣和旺角,還在國際媒體面前贏得「全球最有禮示威者」的聲譽。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">第二招是嚇之以黑:黑道勢力與愛字頭的建制力量合流對付學生,起初傳媒不明就裏,以為佔中與反佔中人士爆發衝突,但很快便弄清事實,國際媒體大幅報導暴徒襲擊和平示威者而警察拖延執法的場面。市民不但沒有退縮,更練就到提高警惕,實時支援學生的機動性。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">第三招是哄之以情:政府在幕後散佈即將武力清場的恐慌,利用一少撮學者和八大校長、加上李國能和董建華,以愛惜同學生命安全之「情」,勸戒集會市民撤離。學聯在讓出政總通道等小節上配合,卻堅守不達政改目標不退場的初衷,使梁振英失去清場藉口之餘,還令留守集會者識破「狼來了」的謊言。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">三招清場失敗後,梁振英的第四招是「委托」政務司長林鄭月娥與學聯代表對話,但對話未開始,梁氏便強調政改必須在人大框架下進行,如是者拖足一周,政府更要求第一次會面議程只討論政改憲制基礎和法律規定,恰好反映了梁氏與林鄭的分歧:梁振英不肯為林鄭向中央爭取談判空間以防她功高蓋主,而林鄭不願在毫無退讓空間的情況下跑到談判桌上當炮灰。昨天林鄭砌詞取消原定在今天進行的會面,更聲稱她對是否清場的決定只是「局外人」,便是梁班子內部矛盾表面化的證據。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">從中央急於化解危機的角度來說,第四回合的成敗取決於林鄭的「騙」功:如何在寸步不讓的情況下,能夠哄騙學聯退場,例如說「只有先撤離才能有實質談判」,「談判需時所以為減市民不便應先讓出馬路」等等,再發動地區團體製造輿論攻勢,誇大佔領區的社會影響,對集會者製造壓力。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">雨傘革命會否在第四回合敗陣,對學聯學民以至集會市民都是重大考驗。成敗的關鍵有二:一是學聯在談判桌上能否認清目標,不要輕易動搖;二是集會市民能否改變思維,將臨時佔領轉化為中長期佔領的佈局,並適時調整公共空間的管理方式以爭取市民支持。例如在港島區開通低碳交通,從銅鑼灣至中環開設「公共單車」專線和開通電車,以至推出「公共空間共治計劃」,令商戶獲得一如新闢行人專用區帶來的好處等等。這些都是鞏固而非棄守佔領區的方法,不會削弱談判籌碼。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">中央的策略很清楚,須有證據顯示林鄭的「騙」功完全無效後,才會進入第五回合,考慮實質退讓的方案。學聯學民必須在提升土氣,爭奪民心和拆解騙局三方面取得優勢,才有望進入收成期。不要忘記,隨著梁班子內部裂痕擴大,梁振英更爆出收受秘密巨款的醜聞,中央棄車保帥的誘因正與日俱增。</span><br />
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><br /></span>
<span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-size: xx-small; line-height: 15.3333330154419px;">[原刊於《</span><span style="font-family: PMingLiU; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">香港獨立媒體網</span><span style="font-size: xx-small; line-height: 15.3333330154419px;">》, 2014年10月10日]</span></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;"> </span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-61374551161138325822014-11-02T12:34:00.000+08:002014-11-02T19:27:34.535+08:00勸退學生不如動員辭職<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">黎廣德<span lang="EN-US"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">在香港爭取民主普選,一如為了應對全球氣候變化而爭取節能減碳,都是先由一小撮人帶頭犠牲,最終所有人享受成果,猶如坐上毋須繳費的順風車。今天大家看得很清楚,在特首梁振英的帶領下:法治倒退、自由萎縮、官商勾結、暴民當道。要力挽狂瀾,維護港人固有的生活方式,以真普選為起點的政治改革是唯一出路,所以青年學生今天的犧牲也就是為了所有香港人的今天和未來而犧牲。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">儘管有數以十萬計的市民投入「雨傘革命亅<span lang="EN-US">(革命並不等同更換政權,正如文化大革命或中國語文革命均不以改朝換代為目標),正如10月5日明報文章《香港勝在有雷氣》描述的幾位仗義達人,他們的氣度令人動容;但大部份港人仍在坐順風車,等待享受普選成果。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">坐順風車可以有三種態度,一種是感恩和謙卑。正如仗義達人之一的阿頴所言:「呢班學生係為緊我哋嚟緊嘅生活呀!錢,死都唔會帶得走㗎啦!」當有人不計付出辛苦駕車和推車,車上的人說一聲多謝,或因不能下車上廁所而稍忍一會,近乎人之常情。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">第二種態度是冷漠和批評:有人把不能上廁所的痛苦無限誇大,不僅沒有設法為車上的人提供「方便神器」<span lang="EN-US">(例如義載學生上學,或籌募基金向受影響的基層市民提供緊急援助),卻登廣告聲稱「百業受害、民不聊生」。很多批評是由一小撮既得利益者幕後發功,不值一晒。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">第三種態度同樣可怕:為保安全最好馬上停車,撤離現場。雨傘革命的列車往前行,為何不安全?事實證明,出現流血暴力的情況只有兩種:第一是警方使用暴力對付和平示威者,包括<span lang="EN-US">87枚催淚彈,第二是警方縱容暴力,任由黑道襲擊示威者而拖延執法,甚至包庇施暴者。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">要對症下藥,保護學生,首要急務是提醒當局不能用武力驅散和平示威者,更不能姑息暴徒。根本的解決之道,當然是要求當權者正面回應學生提出的普選訴求,讓雨傘革命和平落幕。越為學生焦急,便越應該在自己的崗位上向當權者加大壓力,令政府不敢輕舉妄動,令警方不與黑道合流。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">可惜不少意見領袖現時對焦錯誤,包括八大校長和前首席法官李國能等,雖然無人懷疑他們愛護學生之心,但空勸已付出重大犧牲的學生和數以萬計的和平市民退場,倒不如公開呼籲梁振英一人下台,勸戒中央調整政改方向。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">與此同時,既然梁振英政府已經異化為一個與民為敵的政權,影響所及是所有公共政策皆不可能獲得民意授權順利推行。因此,無論是問責官員、各委員會或公共機構擔任公職的民間人士,都可以身體力行,為化解危機出一分綿力:就是辭職明<a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="_GoBack"></a>志,為香港重啓新局。特區政府的每一道裂痕,都可為構建新秩序帶來一絲曙光。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">平息街頭亂局的最好方法不在街頭,而在於當權者提出一套政治解決方案。這麽顯淺的道理,只要坐順風車的港人不再視而不見,民主列車安全前行便有更大保障。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">明報<span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;">》</span></span>論壇版 <span style="background-color: white;">, </span></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Calibri; font-size: xx-small; line-height: 14px;">原文題為</span><span style="font-size: x-small;">《坐順風車不能理直氣壯》<span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, 2014<span lang="ZH-TW">年10</span><span lang="ZH-TW">月6</span><span lang="ZH-TW">日</span></span><span style="background-color: white;">]</span></span><br />
<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-38360302916545118942014-11-02T09:56:00.001+08:002014-11-02T19:27:49.228+08:00辭職吧!鄭月娥同學<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">黎廣德<span lang="EN-US"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">自從<span lang="EN-US">34年前大家踏出大學校門以來,這是第一次與你以同學相稱,希望你在歷史關口面前抛開官場慣性思維,重拾當年的赤子之心,想-想今天面對的抉擇。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">想當年,我們剛踏入香港大學校園不久,便受當時的學生會會長楊威寧所託,共同擔任「香港週」籌委會兩個副主席的職務。在當時「認中關社」得氛圍下,「香港週」是港大學生會一年一度的重頭戲,鼓勵同學親身到社區中關心社會。你曾經向傳媒談及當年探訪油麻地艇户,相信你不會忘記「香港週」的主旨:爭取社會公義,關顧弱勢社群。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">我們之間沒有私交,多年來對很多公共政策的立場亦南轅北轍。例如我認為天星及皇后碼頭因歴史價值應當保留,你認為中途改變規劃會影響政府威信;我認為景賢里被煎皮拆骨証明文物古蹟條例急須修訂,你主張用行政權力逐單個案處理而否定制度改革;我認為城規會要加強獨立性朝著民主化改革,你堅持政府操控以維護行政主導。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">讓我們今天暫且放下誰是誰非的爭論,只談一項大是大非的問題:在政府異化為欺壓人民的工具後,你應否馬上辭職?<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">今天香港的危機並非市民失控,剛好相反,「雨遮革命」的學生和市民成為國際傳媒頭條,他們展示的勇氣、紀律和禮貌令全世界括目相看,這是無論政府花多少廣告費也無法豎立的「香港品牌」。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">今天的危機是政府執意與民為敵,蛻變成一副只懂執行中央極權意旨的國家機器,完全喪失了代表香港市民的功能。你領導政改三人組,用盡幾十年來磨練而成的官場技倆,結果卻在市民眼中成為推銷謊言的頭號閒角,這符合你加入政府的初衷嗎?<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">在大學時代,大家已知你很有自信心。如今你自覺一心奉公,反對聲音是源於市民不明白你一片苦心,可能你覺得很委屈。我期望你清醒過來:最能看清皇帝新衣的莫如最有童真的稚子,這正是青年學生今天送給香港人的大禮。請你到<a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="_GoBack"></a>各區「民主廣場」切實走一趟,同學門會很有禮貌地護你同行。我不知道這會否重燃你三十多年前心中埋下的火種,但起碼你會明白,今天的矛盾已經超越政改爭議,而是關乎香港人如何掌握自己命運,如何重構與中國大陸的關係。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">除非你支持中央政府用鐵腕鎮壓,把香港推入萬劫不復之境,否則梁振英下台、重組特區政府是唯一化解危機的起點。在七百萬人和中華民族的福祉面前,甚麼不可動搖的政府威信或領導面子,都是蠱惑人心微不足道的魔障。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">此時此刻,你在以梁振英為首的政府內能發揮甚麼作用?梁振英近期記者會必定把你拉在身旁,含義清楚不過,他所作所為的後果必須由你與他共同承擔。若果梁振英先於你下台,你只會成為已被唾棄的梁班子中責任最大的成員,獲市民繼續信任的機會近乎零。反之,若果你率先請辭,足以成為打破僵局的催化劑,迫使政府重組,令中央有重新調整政改策略的迴旋空間。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">若你會見學生代表而又未能代表梁振英滿足他們對政改的訴求,你當場主動請辭以啟新局,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">可能是你從政以來對香港前途的最大貢獻。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">從個人得失考慮,相信你必定讀過文學大師林語堂的一段名言:「人生的大騙子不是兩個,而是三個:名、利、權」。當你手上的權力只能用於作惡而無法行善的時候,鼓起勇氣向騙子說不,真有這麽難嗎?<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">我相信不少港大校友的想法與我一致,希望下次見面時還能與你以同學相稱,而不致辜負「明德格物」的校訓。</span><br />
<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: SimSun; font-size: xx-small; line-height: 15.3333330154419px;">[原刊於《</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: PMingLiU; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">香港獨立媒體網</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: SimSun; font-size: xx-small; line-height: 15.3333330154419px;">》, 2014年10月3日]</span></span>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br /></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-80497170121241394702014-11-01T23:21:00.001+08:002014-11-02T19:28:10.123+08:00「三跑」硬闖勢成高鐵翻版<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; margin-bottom: 5.75pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 5.75pt; text-align: right;">
<span style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;"> </span><span style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><br />
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">香港機管局擴建第三條跑道的環評報告硬闖環諮會,儘管報告內容千瘡百孔,由於委員全屬特首委任,環諮會可能徹底異化成替環境破壞開路的「環開會」。最可怕的結局是三跑變成另一條高鐵,香港人被迫用公帑填滿無底深潭兼得不償失。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">至今為止,三跑面對三個死結,與高鐵驚人相似,兼且機管局應付公眾的招數,與當年運房局長鄭汝樺如出一轍:就是拖延資訊、隱瞞事實。</span><b><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<b><span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">效益成疑: 首個死結是三跑要投資多少?有沒有經濟效益?</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這個最基本的問題偏偏只有最虛無飄渺的答案。機管局承認三年前的預測只是初步估算,究竟<span lang="EN-US">1400億元投資會否變成傳聞中的2000億元?不知道。究竟機管局顧問報告提出在最壞情況下經濟回報淨值會下調六成,在計入社會及環境成本後,香港人可能要倒蝕5600億元</span></span> <span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?不知道。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">五年前政府硬推立法會審批高鐵撥款時也是對財務數據含糊其詞,拒絕公開可行性研究和財務分析報告,當時建制派議員盲目護航,今天高鐵超支過百億元還未見底,卻沒有人承擔責任。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">跨境矛盾:第二個死結是三跑航道面對內地的空牆和水域限制,建成後能否順利運作抑或需要仰人鼻息。</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">內地的空域管制由軍方話事,特區政府談判經年,至今未有協議。空牆不拆,三跑往北的兩條升降航道便無法正常運作,不但效益大減,更迫使航班往南飛,加劇珀麗灣等地區的噪音污染。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">環評報告隱瞞了一項鮮為人知的事實:由於航機升降的需要,三跑往西的水域需要設立高度管制區,不准三十米高的船舶駛入,但該區早已劃為中國水域內的錨區,用來停泊高達<span lang="EN-US">185米的離岸鑽井平台及65米的貨輪,對三跑運作造成嚴重衝突。若要遷移錨區,不但廣州港務局和深圳市政府未必同意,更會影響珠江口早已非常擠迫的航道,牽一髮而動全身,可能需疏挖海床,對環境影響鉅大,公眾卻一直矇在鼓裏。</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這些跨境矛盾一如高鐵「一地兩檢」的困局,鄭汝樺開出空頭支票,至今張炳良仍無法兌現,到時因高鐵變「低鐵」而收入大減,補貼填氹的又是香港市民。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">環境困局:第三個死結是本港西部承受污染的能力已經超出負荷,三跑勢必造成無法紓緩的破壞。</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">最明顯的例子莫過於中華白海豚,過去<span lang="EN-US">10年數量大減6成,至今只剩約60條。三跑興建需時七年,本港水域無法補償白海豚生境的損失,機管局只寄望它們游往珠江口棲息,但該區水域其實已有海上風電場,深中通道大橋等9項工程進行。機管局明知這樣太難看,上周提出似是而非的「提升計劃」,表示會在幾個水域放置魚苗和人工魚礁,並禁止船隻進入本來就不會駛經的水域,但同時承認沒有科學證據說明此舉對白海豚有幫助。可是「環開會」已抱住這下台階,準備一心一意為破壞環境開路。</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">當年高鐵西九總站亦遇上無法解決的環境死結,因為交通分析發現油尖區十幾個路口會因高鐵的額外車流量超負荷,但狹窄的路面根本難以實施改善措施。結果運房局的絕招是拒絕公開交通影響評估報告,直至投票前一周才限定議員查閱報告,令公眾來不及消化,撥款已經通過。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">五年前種種拖延和隱瞞的小動作如今一一重現,究竟是政府管治手法不長進,還是香港人當順民太久而埋沒了抗命的勇氣?</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">事實上,政府至今一直迴避兩個核心問題:既然香港要發展多元經濟,除了三跑以外沒有效益更高的投資嗎?現今雙跑道的運作效率只及原來設計的六成,為何仍未物盡其用便要加碼投資?</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">對市民來說,三跑比高鐵更危險不單是因投資額高一倍,運房局很可能玩弄程序,利用機管局融資而毋須通過立法會批准撥款。如此一來,官員可逃避監管,市民連要求立法會把關的機會也被剝奪<span lang="EN-US"> - 或許這是五年來特區政府最沾沾自喜的「進步」。</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #444444; font-family: SimSun; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">明報<span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;">》</span></span><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, 2014<span lang="ZH-TW">年9</span><span lang="ZH-TW">月15</span><span lang="ZH-TW">日</span>]</span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-19328977049248050142014-11-01T23:13:00.002+08:002014-11-02T19:28:27.071+08:00封殺政改是扼殺發展 - 致專業界的公開信<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 'MS Gothic'; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;"> </span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 'MS Gothic'; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 'MS Gothic'; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">炎炎夏日,可能不少朋友剛外遊回港。人大常委的政改決議,未必是大家最上心的大事。無論大家的政見如何,希望都仔細想想,人大決議為何是影響自己和危害下一代發展的頭等大事。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">人大決議的本質是宣佈由今天開始,中央政府透過一套提名和普選的包裝,委任中共屬意的人選成為行政長官。無論誰當特首,他都毋須面對真正的政治競爭,但必須百份百效忠當時掌權的中共領導人。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">這套制度的效果,是把香港拉向內地的管治體制,最終香港的貪污腐敗與社會不公也必然與內地看齊。因為特首毋須面對競爭卻要討好他的權力來源,必然會容忍兼且包庇貪腐,加劇利益輸送,資源投放親疏有別,反而環境破壞與貧富懸殊等社會矛盾被政府置之不理。香港發展陷入困局,專業人士最珍惜的公平市場環境將一去不返。如此下去,我們的事業能夠發展嗎?我們放心下一代能夠安居樂業嗎?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">因此人大決議所封殺的不僅是香港民主進程,而是香港發展前景。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">各人的處境不同,或許你今天開拓的內地業務令你有賺錢空間。但明天呢?當北京視香港特首為傀儡,香港市場是內地人和內地企業的主場時,你的子女還有發展空間嗎?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">在中央的強權面前,我們未必有在短期內改變現實的能力,但我們今天有能力發聲,有能力告訴身邊的每一個人:政改離我們並不遙遠,因為專權腐敗的力量正在侵蝕我們生活中的每一吋空間。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">不要少看幾句說話的力量,因為北京最害怕就是香港人拒絕生活在謊言當中。只要你發自內心,每一句給身邊人的說話都會帶來新希望。尤其是專業人士,你的聲音可以傳得更廣更遠,可以用更多創意令當權者不得不改弦易轍。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">惟有如此,我們才能守護自己的尊嚴,守護孩子的未來。</span><br />
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<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: SimSun; font-size: xx-small; line-height: 15.3333330154419px;">[原刊於《</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: PMingLiU; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">香港獨立媒體網</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: SimSun; font-size: xx-small; line-height: 15.3333330154419px;">》, 2014年9月6日]</span></span><br />
<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><br /></span>
<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><br /></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-64117133111725733592014-11-01T23:02:00.001+08:002014-11-02T19:28:51.328+08:00出賣香港民意的三類人 兼論「伊朗式普選」陷阱<span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 'MS Gothic'; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px; text-align: right;"> </span><span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 'MS Gothic'; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px; text-align: right;">黎廣德</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 'MS Gothic'; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px; text-align: right;"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span><br />
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<span lang="EN-US">中央政府執意違背普選承諾,踐踏香港民意的戲碼,是由十天前的深圳政改座談會開始,至今天人大常委在北京通過決議告終。中聯辦上周五邀請了近三百人出席座談會,當時民主派尚未清楚中央的底牌,所以本著知其不可為而為之的精神,試圖盡最後努力向中央官員進言。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">到了深圳五洲賓館會場,一片鬧哄哄的氣氛,三百人中不到十份之一屬於民主派,座談會由基本法委員會主任李飛致開場白後便抽籤發言。總共三十位發言者中,佔九成屬建制陣營,發言時一個比一個保守:左一句「反佔中形勢大好」,右一句「堅決對付佔中動亂」;左一句「中央篩選理所當然」,右一句「必須排除不愛國者參選」;左一句「我選班長都係由老師提名」;右一句「中央越干預香港越樂觀」。歪理連篇,令人懷疑這些究竟是何許香港人?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">這些被李飛譽為「反映香港民意支持中央」的「社會各界人士」,普遍受過高等教育或事業有成,他們均受惠於香港的自由、法治與廉潔制度,難道他們不明白由中央欽點的假普選只會使權力更集中、制度更腐敗,令香港最終一無所有?為何他們甘願出賣香港的民主前途,爭相獻媚唯恐不及?細聽之下,這些「香港人」大致可分為三類:</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">第一類是「忠貞派」:不少發言者百份百擁護中央,有些是培養多年的土共,有些是從內地來港定居,有些則從內地到海外留學後再移居香港,他們的經歷顯然與土生土長的香港人有異,究竟當中有多少是由中共安插在香港政商界的不同崗位,再搖身一變成為香港「各界代表」,不得而知。他們的特點是自成一國,唯北京馬首是瞻,與香港主流社會有難以踰越的鴻溝。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">第二類是「投降派」:這些大都是在港從商或各項專業的「成功人士」,與內地生意有千絲萬縷的關係。他們大致明白內地制度的流弊,但更明白攀附權貴是生意成功之道。他們對內地體制的腐朽往往比一般港人更清楚,但為了減低自己向中共投誠的罪咎感,最常用的說辭是「共產黨吃軟不吃硬,總會慢慢進步」,自己卻不忘爭分奪秒,抓緊實利。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">第三類是「幻想派」:這些人毋須倚靠中共提供政商利益,甚至有濃烈的民族感情,卻被理想主義蒙蔽。他們雖然從歷史中明白中共不可信,但由於沒有抗衡極權的打算,便寧願以理性持平自居,希望苦口婆心說服中共以人民利益為先。可惜在殘酷的政治現實面前,有部份人不惜一次又一次受騙,仍然拒絕放棄幻想,甘心繼續成為統戰對象。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">中共對這三類人以統戰手法分而治之:對「忠貞派」恩威並施,對「投降派」以實利籠絡,對「幻想派」以甘言承諾。到了政改座談會這種場合,三類人便大派用場,聯手製造一個「自己人包圍圈」,令中央官員在所謂「香港社會各界」簇擁之下自我感覺良好。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">這三類人出賣民意的結果,是替北京與香港的互動製造惡性循環:中共的本能是排斥政治異見者,於是越加壯大「自己人包圍圈」;包圍圈越壯大,中央決策便越脫離香港民情,製造更多政治異見者。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">今天人大常委造出與民為敵的政改決定,令惡性循環越陷越深,越難走出香港的管治與發展困局。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">李飛有一句十分露骨的說話只在研討會內出現而未見他在公開場合發表:「政制改革是政治力量對比的結果。」言下之意是除非香港人有政治實力迫使北京讓步,中央不會理會甚麼人權公約、普世價值或國際標準。</span><span lang="EN-US">把李飛的說法比照「新護法」王振民近日的新論調「讓一部分人先民主起來」,便明白中央推行政改的的真正意圖:利用香港製造一套「中國特式普選」,待中央操控熟練之後,便可以在內地依法泡製,以後中共便能以普選之名,行專權之實。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">要明白「中國特式普選」有多可怕,最佳方法是時光倒流,回看35年前的伊朗。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span lang="EN-US">「伊朗式普選」發人深省</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">1979年伊朗發生「黑色革命」,推翻親美的巴列維皇朝,建立伊斯蘭共和國,由宗教領袖高美尼擔任「最高領袖」。當時通過的憲法,包括成立一個「守衛者委員會」(Guardians
Council),職能是解釋憲法,確保國會通過的法律符合伊斯蘭教義,並有權篩選所有總統及議會參選人。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">「守衛者委員會」由12人組成,全部由最高領袖直接或間接委任,多年來對於篩選參選人均絕不手軟,例如在2004年的國會選舉,篩走了3600名改革派參選人,確保在2000年國會選舉失利的保守派重新回朝;在2006年的「專家院」選舉,篩走所有女性參選人;在去年總統大選中,把686名參選人篩剩8名而毋須作任何解釋。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">名義上「守衛者委員會」是以參選人對什葉派伊斯蘭的忠誠度作為宗教篩選的準則,猶如今天人大決議標榜的「愛港愛國」,但實則上這是眾所周知的政治篩選,確保最高領袖不屬意的人選不會出現在選票名單之上。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">伊朗共有5千萬名選民,他們享有一人一票「普選」的權利,但大家心知肚明,要反對最高領袖的唯一方法是拒絕投票,因此官方想盡辦法催谷投票率,例如去年總統大選就故意安排與地方議會及「專家院」選舉同日舉行。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">伊朗承傳了波斯古文明,有「詩人之國」的美譽,有幸到訪的旅客均深受伊朗人的熱情好客所感動。波斯帝國開國元勳居魯士大帝在2500年前頒佈了人類歷史上第一部人權宣言,他們對民主自由的追求從未停步,例如在2009年總統大選後曾有大規模群眾運動抗議選舉不公,結果有30人死亡和過千人被捕。本月中剛以87歲高齡逝世的著名波斯女詩人,有「伊朗母獅」之稱的Simin
Behbahani,便是其中一位多年來堅持抗爭的人權鬥士。可惜伊朗人民在35年前「袋住先」,接受了「先篩選、後普選」的緊箍咒後便一直無法突破困局。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">歷史証明,一旦搞上「伊朗式普選」,便無法與獨裁政權舉行「伊朗式離婚」。「中國特式普選」是進步還是倒退,請諸位高唱「有票、真係唔要?」的特區高官在夜欄人靜之際,撫心自問。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">過去百多年中國人追求民主自由的歷史中,香港一直扮演積極進步的角色,從孫中山先生在香港大學的演說中坦承「香港是我革命思想的發源地」可見一斑。若果這一代香港人容忍中共在香港發明創造出「中國特式普選」,令不知多少世代的中國人走不出專權的枷鎖,我們還有顏面向祖宗先烈交待嗎?</span><br />
<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br /></span>
<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: xx-small; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="background: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">明報<span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;">》</span></span><span style="background: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, 2014<span lang="ZH-TW">年8</span><span lang="ZH-TW">月31</span><span lang="ZH-TW">日</span>]</span></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-52234232632865969762014-11-01T21:34:00.000+08:002014-11-02T19:29:17.416+08:00開門閂門:一念之差愧對歴史<div align="right" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;">
<span style="font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">黎廣德<span lang="EN-US"> 公共專業聯盟政策召集人</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">過去一年,各界為<span lang="EN-US">2017年普選行政長官而提出的方案不知繁</span></span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">幾</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">其實爭拗的核心只有一個:中央不願接受某一類人當特首,所以有人想盡方法替中央減低「風險」。各種</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">方案可歸納成兩類:第一類是「</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">閂</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">門方案」,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">將中央不屬意的人選拒諸門外;</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">第二類是</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">「開門方案」,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">容許中央不</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">屬意</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">的人</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">選有</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">當特首的</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">可能。解決爭拗只是一念之差:</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中央政府</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">是否有胸襟採</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">納開門方案,從而讓一個它</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不屬意</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">的人可能當上特首。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">依據</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">國際標準普選</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">特首</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">固然是基本法賦予香港人的公民權利,縱使要權衡利害</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">:採納開門方案,容許香港選出一個中央不願接受的人當特首,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">符合香港利益,符合中國共產黨利益,更符合國家民族的長遠利益。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">當今香港的政治形勢很清楚,市民累積了多年對普選特首的期望,一旦期望落空,相當一部份人會走上用行動抗爭的道路,而抗爭的第一步是以「和平佔中」為首的公民抗命。公民抗命將會是香港社會發展的一個分水嶺,因為此前的民主運動都是在體制內進行,但此後的抗爭會在體制外進行,即使依然以和平途徑抗爭,但目標是衝擊體制,直至體制轉型為止。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">香港市民心裏明白:</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">閂</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">門方案</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">包含政治篩</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">選,開門方案才是公平普選。「和平佔中」</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">爆發</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">的關鍵並非有多少香港人</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">能容忍閂門</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,而在於有多少香港人堅持開門。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">《香港<span lang="EN-US">2020》委託中文大學進行的最新民意調查,不接受「政治篩選候選人」的市民達百份之63。根據《香港政改民意關注組》委託</span></span><span style="font-family: Batang; mso-bidi-font-family: Batang; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">嶺</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">南大學進行的民意調查,全港市民中有百份之<span lang="EN-US">19贊成透過抗爭而非談判方式爭取普選,但在「泛民主派」市民中有四成。即使「反佔中」運動表面上聲勢浩大,但「泛民主派」市民中反對政府「袋住先」的比率不跌反升,意味著更多人會參與公民抗命。<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">公民抗命<span lang="EN-US"> 啟動掣在中央<o:p></o:p></span></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">值得留意,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">「和平佔中」等公民抗命運動已經在香港公民社會中累積了生命力,並非由幾位領袖或政黨可以隨意指揮或</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">剎</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">停。在國家主席習近平主政後不到兩年,香港若以「佔中」締造公民抗命歴史,中央顏面何存?</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">若果中央鎖定</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">閂</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">門方案,等同啟動公民抗命運動,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">迫使</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">民間抗爭走到體制外衝擊體制。這些衝擊有連鎖效應:議會癱瘓、政令不行、發展停滯、以至民怨沸騰。公民抗命的目標是以法達義,所以現行法律不足以嚇阻違法行為。政府為了壓制衝擊,自會進一步拑制自由</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">和擴大警權</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,無可避免影響投資和營商信心;為了挽救經濟,政府須進一步倚賴自由行和「</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">北</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">水</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">南</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">調」,令發展更向既得利益傾斜,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">打擊</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">多元化經濟,造成螺旋式下墜。這時特首只得</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">百份百倚靠</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中央</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">因此特首施政越積極,越替中央製造民怨,衝擊目標會從特首漫延至中央。縱使對中共內政不會有即時影響,但無人能預測「蝴蝶效應」的軌跡。這豈非對</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中共認知的「</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">國家安全</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">構成隱患?<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">反過來說,採納開門方案,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">可能</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">選出一個中央不</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">屬意</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">的人當特首,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">天會塌下來嗎</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">基本法對特首的權限有嚴格規定,無論誰當上特首,均只能按照基本法執行職務。國防外交是中央管轄範圍,特首無權過問,更無權插手內地事務。正因為香港人非常重視法治制度,若果特首超越法律權限而對內地或中央政府造成不良影響,香港人會毫不猶疑地向特首追究責任。可以預期,這種情況一旦出現,香港市民與中央政府會站在同一陣線。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">用開門方案選出的特首同樣要面對城市發展、資源分配等種種難題,但屆時政改爭議已非焦點,政府亦毋須應付公民抗命的衝擊。誰當上特首都要明智處理特區與中央政府的關係,因為處理不善而令香港內部利益受損,市民要追究責任的是特首本人而非中央政府。市民衡量特首施政的成敗,會回歸兩項公共政策的基本尺度:效率與公平,社會發展得以納於正軌。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">閂門普選<span lang="EN-US"> 危害國家安全</span></span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">毋庸諱言,</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">閂</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">門方案表面維穩,實質讓既得利益集團維</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">持現狀</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,但代價是</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">經濟走下坡</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">和</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">製造</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">國家安全隱患。開門方案引發變局,導致較多利益再分配,但好處是各界能聚焦解決深層次矛盾和經濟成長更健康。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">有人擔心香港普選成功會刺激內地民意,但開門方案的普選完全在體制內有規範地進行,比起</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">閂</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">門方案引發的體制外衝擊,對中央顯然利大於弊。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中央官員為香港政改決策時,有責任從歷史高度出發,不僅回應香港</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這一代</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">人的訴求,更要回應百多年來無數先烈前仆後繼</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">對</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">民主自由的</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">追</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">求。香港堪稱是當今中華大地上法治觀念最強、公民社會最成熟的城市。因此中央在香港採納一套開門普選方案,是對中華民族風險最低、效益最</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">高</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">的抉擇。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1911年4月24日,黃花崗七十二烈士之一的林覺民先生,在離開香港跑馬地濱江樓到廣州起義前,背著年輕妻子</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">和</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">五歲小兒,寫下《與妻訣別書》:<i>「吾充吾愛汝之心,助天下人愛其所愛,所以敢先汝而死,不顧汝也。汝體吾此心,於啼泣之餘,亦以天下人為念,當亦樂犧牲吾身與汝身之福利,為天下人謀永福也。…<span lang="EN-US">..吾今死無餘憾,國事成不成,自有同志者在。」</span></i><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中央的決策會否辜負先烈的犧牲,將來大家會看得</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">一</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">清</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">二</span><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">楚。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<i><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">*</span></i><i><span style="font-family: SimSun; mso-bidi-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">此文是作者為<span lang="EN-US">2014年8月22日與中央官員在深圳政改座談會準備的發言稿,同時代表「公共專業聯盟」及「普選工程連線」的立場。<o:p></o:p></span></span></i><br />
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<span style="background: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">原刊於《</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">明報<span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;">》</span></span><span style="background: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 9pt;">, 2014<span lang="ZH-TW">年8</span><span lang="ZH-TW">月23</span><span lang="ZH-TW">日</span>]</span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-11258265595703028402014-10-12T17:21:00.002+08:002014-10-12T17:24:55.596+08:002014-08-26 港鐵盈利與工程超支:黎廣德、陳恆鑌訪問【大鳴大放】<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<span style="background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18.4799995422363px;">訪問第一節</span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09319276413332736372noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1052863794777188316.post-27236395103652192412014-07-13T10:13:00.001+08:002014-07-13T10:13:36.584+08:002014-05-29 港鐵工程滯後:黎廣德、陳學鋒訪問【大鳴大放】<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
訪問第一節</div>
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訪問第二節</div>
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